All Articles Tagged - gold

US Open Note – Downbeat ADP jobs data drive dollar lower; Wall Street opens higher

Posted on September 1, 2021 at 1:35 pm GMT

Global stocks have a good start to September Global markets had a solid start to September, with European equities following their Asian rivals higher and crawling back towards their recent record highs despite fears of a growth slowdown, the troubling supply shortages, and the scarcity of qualified employees, which keep production costs elevated. Of course, businesses can always raise margins and transfer the increased costs to consumers, making cost pressures less problematic as long as consumption remains solid and central [..]

US Open Note – Dollar flat as Powell continues to feed Wall Street bulls

Posted on August 30, 2021 at 1:58 pm GMT

Dollar remains muted after Friday’s pullback The delta wave uncertainty forced Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to play it safe during Friday’s Jackson Hole symposium, setting no timeline and expressing no rush for winding down stimulus despite flagging that bond tapering will start this year. His dovish remarks sent the dollar index lower but within the 92.00 territory as the euro and the pound found the chance to steal some ground on the news. ECB’s Villeroy signals PEPP reduction, but [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold advances above 1,800; market structure still neutral

Posted on August 30, 2021 at 10:21 am GMT

Gold set a nice foothold around the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and sped up to close above a short-term resistance trendline and the 200-day SMA on Friday. The neutral market structure, however, is still intact and only a rally above the 1,835 ceiling would raise confidence in the ongoing upward move. Encouragingly, the RSI continues to trend upwards above its 50 neutral level and the MACD has finally entered the positive territory, boosting optimism the recent bullish appetite in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks party, dollar drops after vague Powell speech

Posted on August 30, 2021 at 8:42 am GMT

Fed Chair Powell offers no concrete taper signals at Jackson Hole Equities, gold, and commodity FX storm higher, dollar takes a hit Spotlight falls on Chinese PMIs and US jobs report this week Powell plays it slow Global markets breathed a sigh of relief on Friday after the world’s most important central banker didn’t outline a clear roadmap towards normalizing monetary policy. Speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium, Fed Chairman Powell highlighted the Delta outbreak as a risk that has [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed hawks rattle Wall Street ahead of Powell

Posted on August 27, 2021 at 9:27 am GMT

Three Fed officials call for start of tapering; Wall Street unnerved but futures bounce back Dollar also reverses earlier moves, edges lower ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Afghanistan and Delta worries also put investors on edge, gold climbs But China policy support soothes some nerves, stocks mixed Fed hawks make their case; will Powell follow suit? As all eyes turn to Jay Powell’s keynote address at the virtual Jackson Hole symposium later today, three Fed officials made clear where [..]

US Open Note – Markets calm down ahead of Jackson Hole

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 12:53 pm GMT

FOMC meeting and Jackson Hole attract attention There have been several confusing messages leading up to the summit (27 August). The Fed’s vice chair, Clarida, hinted at an early taper when he stated that rates could rise as early as 2022. In the US, the number of covid cases and deaths is on the rise. Especially after Kaplan’s comments on Friday, investors are increasingly focused on this factor in the run-up to the FOMC. This Thursday, the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium gets underway, and it [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar finds footing as Jackson Hole awaited, stocks fly again

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 9:14 am GMT

Markets turn to Jackson Hole for direction amid uneasy optimism Dollar edges up after three-day slide, while Wall Street climbs to fresh records China cash injection, House infrastructure vote lift sentiment, but Delta still a worry Calm sets in before possible Fed storm After a volatile week, markets were in much steadier waters on Wednesday, with the US dollar halting its losing streak and equities holding onto their gains. Optimism that the global economic recovery from the pandemic will only [..]

US Open Note – Risk currencies become the best performers as delta fears persist

Posted on August 23, 2021 at 1:16 pm GMT

Jackson Hole in focus, as delta strain challenges policy decisions Although not a game changer yet, the RBNZ policy announcement showed last week that the spread of the delta virus strain could bring some rescheduling in monetary policy plans, and therefore some exciting volatility in FX markets. Policymakers postponed a widely expected 25 bps rate hike for later in the year as a handful of new cases was enough to prompt a snap lockdown given the low vaccination rates in [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold in confusion within tight range

Posted on August 23, 2021 at 9:25 am GMT

Gold is in a tight range with the 1,780 – 1,770 zone as the quick bounce from the five-month low of 1,680 was not enough to pierce a former support region and the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). Notably, the surface of the descending channel, which lost some credence following May’s breakout, seems to be back into focus, acting as resistance again within the same region. From a technical perspective, the signals are still confusing, providing little direction [..]

US Open Note – FX markets head south; stocks continue to drop

Posted on August 20, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

Dollar index rises slightly Watered-down expectations heading into Jackson Hole next week reveal more about the economy than the Fed’s plans to taper. If the Fed does not announce a taper soon, the fear is that they will not have the opportunity to do so if the US virus situation does not get better in the coming months. The US dollar index is surging to a new nine-month high of 93.67 today, posting the fifth consecutive green day. The greenback is flattening against the Japanese [..]

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