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gold

Technical Analysis – Gold stays within tentative descending channel

Posted on November 18, 2019 at 8:27 am GMT

Gold recouped a small portion of its losses last week to close slightly positive after finding support at 1,445 and near the bottom of a tentative descending channel. Despite the rebound, the price remained slightly below its 20- and 50-simple moving averages (SMAs) that maintain a bearish cross and under the Ichimoku cloud. Meanwhile in momentum indicators, signals are also discouraging as the RSI was unable to return above its 50 neutral mark and the MACD held stable below its red signal [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold looking neutral-to-bearish, support structure may disagree

Posted on November 11, 2019 at 10:18 am GMT

Gold rebounds off the support structure of 1459 – 1453 with buyers trying to push higher. The yellow metal deflected off the resistance structure of 1514 – 1520 last week and dropped underneath all simple moving averages (SMAs) and slightly below the 1459 trough of October 1. Furthermore, the downward slopes in the SMAs lean towards a negative outlook. Yet, the short-term oscillators suggest that negative momentum is starting to weaken. The MACD, deep in the negative region, has just [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite softens on mixed US signals about trade deal; pound slips after BoE

Posted on November 8, 2019 at 9:20 am GMT

Markets remain optimistic of a US-China deal but US officials cast doubt over tariff rollback Dollar set for weekly gains as yen on the pull back Pound skids after Bank of England signals possible rate cut Confused messages on tariff concession Risk appetite cooled off slightly on Friday as confusing signals by US officials on whether the White House is ready to accept the roll back of some of the tariffs on Chinese imports raised question marks about China’s assertion [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets whipsaw on conflicting trade headlines; US-China deal moves closer

Posted on November 7, 2019 at 9:28 am GMT

US-China trade deal appears back on after earlier reports of a possible delay causes brief spike in risk aversion Yen led on a roller-coaster ride by on-off-on trade deal prospects Pound steady ahead of Bank of England meeting US and China reportedly agree to roll back some tariffs Trading got off to a volatile start on Thursday as negative headlines late on Wednesday quickly turned positive. Doubts emerged about the likelihood of the US and China being able to sign [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar steadier after US data boost; stock market rally cools

Posted on November 6, 2019 at 9:18 am GMT

US dollar surges on strong ISM non-manufacturing PMI before steadying Stocks get off to softer start as trade deal euphoria starts to fade Euro pressured by stronger dollar; kiwi up despite disappointing jobs numbers Dollar hits 3-week high on upbeat PMI Better-than-expected economic data and optimism that the US and China are nearing a ‘phase one’ trade deal lifted the US dollar to the highest in three weeks against a basket of currencies on Tuesday. The dollar index reached a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks rally on rising trade deal hopes; yuan hits 3-month high

Posted on November 5, 2019 at 9:03 am GMT

Growing optimism that a partial trade deal between the US and China is within reach boosts risk assets Yen and Swiss franc extend losses, yuan climbs to highest in three months Aussie edges up after RBA keeps rates steady; dollar eyes ISM non-manufacturing PMI US may roll back some China tariffs Optimism around a ‘phase one’ US-China trade deal continued to boost risk appetite on Tuesday, lifting stocks and other risk assets, while dampening demand for safe havens such as [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trade optimism lifts markets; strong NFP helps too but dollar subdued

Posted on November 4, 2019 at 9:16 am GMT

US and China reportedly close to agreeing a ‘phase one’ trade deal; stocks rally Safe havens retreat but still some caution, dollar subdued Euro eyes Lagarde speech Interim US-China trade deal within reach Growing signs that the partial US-China trade deal is close to being finalized drove market sentiment on Monday with Asian stocks getting a lift from another record close on Wall Street on Friday. The White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow told reporters on Friday that “enormous progress” [..]

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Technical Analysis – Gold approaches the upper boundary of a range

Posted on November 4, 2019 at 8:22 am GMT

Gold has remained confined in a narrow sideways range – with an upper bound near 1517 and a lower end around 1474 – for a month now. The short-term bias is therefore neutral, something also supported by the converging 50- and 200-period simple moving averages (SMAs) on the 4-hour chart. A clear break on either side of this range is required to set the near-term direction. Taking a look at momentum oscillators though, they paint a slightly bullish picture, suggesting [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar braces for nonfarm payrolls; risk aversion returns

Posted on November 1, 2019 at 9:09 am GMT

US payrolls and ISM index could shape the dollar’s fortunes today Risk appetite dampened by reports China won’t compromise on ‘real’ trade issues Can US payrolls keep the besieged dollar from stumbling further? The spotlight today will fall on the US employment report for October, as investors scramble to figure out whether the Fed can truly afford to ‘pause’ its rate-cutting cycle, or whether that is merely wishful thinking. Likewise, the ISM manufacturing PMI for the same month will reveal [..]

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Technical Analysis – Gold halts further losses, hovers around 23.6% Fibonacci

Posted on October 30, 2019 at 7:46 am GMT

GOLD has stalled around 1488, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the up leg from 1266.20 to 1556.92. The precious metal seems to be skewed towards a short-term negative outlook after the price reversed back down from 1517 levels and below the simple moving averages (SMAs) but is expected to remain within its trading range. The short-term oscillators suggest a pause in the negative directional momentum. The MACD is below its red trigger line in the negative zone, but [..]

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