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GBPUSD

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Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Posted on August 20, 2024 at 7:54 am GMT

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell. Expectations for a dovish appearance are keeping equities [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD awaits strong resistance near 1-year high

Posted on August 20, 2024 at 6:26 am GMT

GBPUSD’s rebound off 200-day SMA still holds Stochastic in overbought area RSI ticks south above 50 level GBPUSD continues last week’s rebound off the 200-day SMA and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 1.2300 to 1.3045 at 1.2670, but with some weakness today. The intraday bias looks neutral to negative, as the stochastic is still standing above the 80 level but is losing some steam, while the RSI, although above 50, seems to be making its way down. If [..]

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Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs enter the spotlight

Posted on August 15, 2024 at 1:50 pm GMT

As recession fears ease, investors lock gaze on Jackson Hole Eurozone and UK PMIs to affect ECB and BoE expectations Canadian inflation could back third consecutive BoC cut Japan’s Nationwide CPI data also on the agenda Jackson Hole to test overly dovish Fed cut bets Following the unjustified panic triggered by the weaker-than-expected NFP report for July, investors have taken a calmer stance, thereafter, reevaluating their aggressive Fed rate cut bets as the incoming data suggested that the US economy [..]

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Market Comment – US retail sales eyed after CPI report fails to set off fireworks

Posted on August 15, 2024 at 8:45 am GMT

US inflation eases further in July but market reaction is muted Wall Street unimpressed, dollar mixed Yen and pound supported by upbeat GDP data US CPI does little for 50-bps cut hopes The steady recovery in risk appetite remains on track following yesterday’s inflation numbers out of the US that seem to have somewhat underwhelmed investors. Headline CPI eased to 2.9% y/y in July instead of staying unchanged at 3.0% as expected, while core CPI edged down to 3.2% y/y. [..]

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Market Comment – Markets perk up as soft PPI sets the tone ahead of US CPI

Posted on August 14, 2024 at 8:36 am GMT

Stocks perk up after soft US producer prices, all eyes now on CPI report Kiwi slumps after RBNZ cuts rates and signals more to come Pound also slips on weaker-than-expected UK inflation data Gold holds near record high as dollar skids, ME tensions mount Mood brightens ahead of US CPI data The rebound in equity markets gained further traction on Tuesday after US producer prices rose less than expected in July, raising hopes that today’s report on consumer prices will [..]

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Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

Posted on August 13, 2024 at 11:22 am GMT

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks’ interest rate paths. For that reason, volatility in FX pairs has been elevated, albeit a tad softer than last week. The yen crosses remain the most volatile as the BoJ has scrapped [..]

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Market Comment – Stocks edge up in calm before the storm

Posted on August 13, 2024 at 8:18 am GMT

Stocks edge higher as gold benefits from geopolitical risks Pound rallies despite shock claimant count change French political issues return to the foreground RBNZ meeting could lead to significant kiwi underperformance Stocks edge higher as gold climb continues  It was another uneventful session yesterday with most stock indices continuing to recover from last week’s rout. Not much has changed from last week as the market and most investment houses are still looking for a strong Fed rate cut in September. [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD battles with 50-day SMA

Posted on August 13, 2024 at 8:09 am GMT

GBPUSD advances after its bounce off 200-day SMA A potential breach of 50-day SMA could improve outlook Oscillators suggest strengthening positive momentum GBPUSD had been on the rise following its deflection at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on August 8. After four consecutive daily green candlesticks, the pair is on track to reclaim its 50-day SMA as the momentum indicators are hinting at an improving positive bias. If the price extends its recent rebound, immediate resistance might be found at the [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD rebounds near 200-SMA but not bullish yet

Posted on August 12, 2024 at 3:02 pm GMT

GBPUSD shifts to recovery mood but not out of the woods yet Technical indicators cannot confirm bullish bias A break above 1.2840 is needed to bring new buyers   GBPUSD rotated northwards after reaching its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the long-term support trendline from the 2021 trough near 1.2760. The latter initiated the ongoing bullish trend back in April and could assist the market once again. The technical signals, however, are currently questioning the bullish action in the market. [..]

Week Ahead – US CPI to test market nerves, RBNZ might cut rates

Posted on August 9, 2024 at 10:38 am GMT

Market turmoil has eased, but will US CPI stir things up again? Crucial week for sterling as UK CPI, GDP and retail sales on the way The RBNZ is edging closer to a rate cut, but will it be next week? Japanese GDP, Australian jobs and Chinese data eyed too US economy worries take front and centre The panic about the US economy being on the verge of a recession has mostly eased but markets remain jittery. Investors see a [..]

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