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GBPUSD

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Daily Market Comment – Brexit deal announcement imminent, pound up

Posted on December 24, 2020 at 9:57 am GMT

UK and EU on the verge of a historic post-Brexit trade agreement, pound advances Trump imperils stimulus deal, risks government shutdown But markets calm in thin holiday trade; dollar drifts lower, stocks edge up Brexit deal is ‘done’ Britain and the European Union appear to be on the cusp of agreeing to a historic post-Brexit trade pact, with officials reportedly working through the night to put the finishing touches to the 2,000-page text. Negotiators continue to thrash out the final [..]

Daily Market Comment – Virus scare eases but Trump’s stimulus threat tempers mood

Posted on December 23, 2020 at 9:39 am GMT

Equities on firmer footing as panic over new virus strain subsides further But another danger looms as President Trump unhappy with $900 billion stimulus bill Pound’s yo-yo ride continues as hopes rise for pre-Christmas Brexit deal Can Trump scupper Congress’ stimulus aid? Equities were on edge on Wednesday even as investors struck a cautiously optimistic tone ahead of the festive break. President Trump threatened late on Tuesday to block the $900 billion virus relief bill passed by both chambers of [..]

FX year ahead 2021: Too much dollar pessimism?

Posted on December 22, 2020 at 6:48 pm GMT

It has been year of absolute chaos, but hopefully 2021 will be much calmer as the global economy heals its wounds. The overwhelming consensus in the FX arena is for the US dollar to sink further as the reflation trade dominates, lifting all other boats. The ‘catch’ is that much of this weakness may be baked in already. The story for the euro is not attractive either. While dollar weakness could dominate early on and push euro/dollar a little higher, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Market panic vanishes amid signs of Brexit progress

Posted on December 22, 2020 at 9:33 am GMT

Sharp selloff turns into sharp rebound as UK waters down fishery demands US stocks and sterling stage epic comeback, close only a blip lower Similar story for the dollar, surrenders most virus-mutation gains Vaccines and liquidity are still the name of the game What selloff? US equities and sterling roar back Just when you think US stocks can bleed, dip-buyers return with a vengeance. The week kicked off with a substantial correction, the S&P 500 falling almost 2% amid worries [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD preserves the climb despite violent retreat

Posted on December 22, 2020 at 9:30 am GMT

GBPUSD recently logged a 31½-month high of 1.3623 before gapping yesterday below a section of peaks that previously were providing some upside resistance. The aggressive pullback bounced for a second time off the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) and once again returned the pair back above the Ichimoku lines. The price is currently resting above the flattening Ichimoku lines, while the climbing SMAs are defending the advancing picture. The short-term oscillators are reflecting the recent dwindling in the pair. The [..]

Daily Market Comment – New virus strain hits equities, sinks sterling, boosts gold

Posted on December 21, 2020 at 9:45 am GMT

Stocks retreat, sterling tanks as new virus strain spreading in UK wreaks havoc US Congress reaches stimulus deal, but news unable to counter the gloom Dollar and gold capitalize on the nerves, crude oil and commodity FX hit hard Bleeding may continue as traders lock profits, but bigger picture unchanged Sterling tanks as health crisis compounds Brexit crisis A new strain of covid-19 that is far more infectious is spreading like wildfire across the UK, forcing local authorities to ‘cancel [..]

Week Ahead – Stimulus is coming to town

Posted on December 18, 2020 at 12:51 pm GMT

It is a very quiet week in terms of events, as trading winds down for the holiday season. This implies that liquidity may be in short supply, setting the stage for some explosive moves if there is any breakthrough in the Brexit crusade or the US stimulus saga. Overall, markets are set to end a crazy year on an incredibly optimistic note, with a little help from central banks showering investors with cheap money. The ‘party’ could continue into next [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD maintains bullish tone despite pullback

Posted on December 18, 2020 at 11:01 am GMT

GBPUSD is currently finding some footing on the mid-Bollinger band around 1.3491, after reversing from a resistance band of 1.3607-1.3629, where it formed a 31½-month high of 1.3623. The rising simple moving averages (SMAs) are continuing to back price’s intact bullish demeanour. The short-term oscillators are reflecting a stall in negative momentum. The MACD’s drop below its red trigger line deep in the positive region, is decelerating, while the RSI has bounced off its neutral threshold and is now pointing [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar edges up amid the wait for elusive stimulus and Brexit deals

Posted on December 18, 2020 at 10:01 am GMT

Dollar selling eases as caution creeps in, but still set for big weekly losses The long wait for deals in Washington and Brussels takes edge off risk rally Stocks mixed, some volatility may lie ahead Dollar bears pause for breath as Congress in race against time The US dollar was attempting to end its week-long losing streak on Friday as doubts about how soon a stimulus deal in Congress and a Brexit trade pact between the UK and EU can [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar whipsaws on Fed’s dovish guidance, upbeat forecasts

Posted on December 17, 2020 at 9:56 am GMT

Fed commits to current pace of QE until it sees “substantial further progress” Dollar jumps on modest tweak, rosy outlook before being pummelled by dovish Powell Pound continues to soar on Brexit deal optimism, euro climbs new highs too Aussie and kiwi on a roll as strong data, US stimulus hopes maintain bullish momentum Fed disappoints before Powell has to reassure The Federal Reserve pledged on Wednesday to keep buying bonds at the existing pace of $120 billion per month [..]

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