All Articles Tagged - GBPUSD

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD favors bearish scenario after failure to conquer tough resistance

Posted on June 4, 2021 at 7:17 am GMT

GBPUSD bulls abandoned the difficult battle around February’s ceiling of 1.4235, letting the price tumble below the 1.4100 level. Having breached the 23.6% Fibonacci of the 1.3668 – 1.4250 upleg too, the pair seems to be exposed to additional downside on the four-hour chart in the absence of any nearby obstacles. The momentum indicators are currently backing this narrative as the RSI continues to point downwards in the bearish territory and the MACD is trending southwards in the negative zone. The 200-day simple moving average (SMA) [..]

US Open Note – Optimism on US jobs outlook grows ahead of NFP; stocks, gold down

Posted on June 3, 2021 at 1:13 pm GMT

The sound of silence The FX community maintained a silent mode for another day as traders eagerly waited for Friday’s nonfarm payrolls to clarify whether the calls for monetary tightening could step up in the coming months. Despite the Fed’s refusal to shift towards the tapering side in previous months, the central bank seems to be slowly feeding the ground for a hawkish turn, with Philadelphia’s Fed President Patrick Harker arguing on Wednesday that “it is time to at least think about thinking about [..]

US Open Note – Stocks muted near highs, dollar receives hawkish shot

Posted on June 2, 2021 at 2:44 pm GMT

Stocks risk appetite fades; dollar briefly gains an edge US major indices remained largely unchanged near their highs, while the dollar got a boost from the Fed tapering talk-jab, which saw the greenback regain the upper hand over some of its peers in the forex space. The dollar index extended yesterday’s price developments towards the 90.20 mark but the recent dollar strength may not prove so sustainable, especially as this week’s market sentiment is highlighted by NFP payrolls. The EUR/USD [..]

US Open Note – Stocks improve after US holiday, dollar even ahead of US data

Posted on June 1, 2021 at 1:40 pm GMT

Stocks flash risk-on and dollar holds neutral; gold and oil hover near highs Risk-appetite seems to have accumulated after the US Memorial Day holiday with US major indices continuing to improve. The vulnerable dollar remains defenceless receiving no assistance from yields, with the 10-year yield at depressed levels around 1.55%. The dollar index is largely static around 89.85, underperforming against its forex peers. Although the US economy remains robust with rising consumption despite inflation picking up, the news today could [..]

US Open Note – Dollar negative as European stocks end May with a gain; RBA policy meeting in focus

Posted on May 31, 2021 at 1:43 pm GMT

Inflation fears, tightening speculation stretch into the summer Markets were in a wait-and-see mode as the final day of May found the US and UK closed for holidays and monthly trading arrangements already settled. Investors will closely monitor economic data during the summer months for clues on whether the advance in inflation is something more than temporary and how long the Fed could stand pat on tapering calls without damaging the dollar. A handful of central banks have already opened [..]

US Open Note – Dollar continue to rise after core PCE price data

Posted on May 28, 2021 at 1:07 pm GMT

Core PCE data boost dollar The spotlight of the day is the release of the US core PCE price data. The figure for April rose to 3.1% y/y from 2.9% that was the expectation and 1.8% in March. This is the highest since August 1992 and above the Fed’s 2% target for the first time since 2018. PCE is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation so traders watch it closely. Personal income increased to -13.1% from -20.9% previously, while personal [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD contests stern resistance zone; upside risks endure

Posted on May 28, 2021 at 11:34 am GMT

GBPUSD has recoiled to the Ichimoku cloud’s upper surface around 1.4170 after the pair’s latest positive traction, activated near the 1.4100 mark, managed to only yet again peek temporarily above the 1.4200 handle. The bullish simple moving averages (SMAs) are providing essential defences to aid near-term additional price improvements. Presently, the Ichimoku lines are not transmitting any clear signals in directional momentum but may help fortify support around the 50-period SMA at 1.4162. In terms of the next decisive price [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yields rise ahead of US inflation data; pound jumps on rate hike hint

Posted on May 28, 2021 at 9:13 am GMT

Treasury yields advance on Biden’s $6 trillion budget plan; PCE inflation eyed next But modest gains for dollar as pound spikes after BoE’s Vlieghe hints at 2022 rate hike Stocks head for weekly gains, buoyed by US data and budget proposal, but tech lags Bond yields perk up as big spending back in focus US and global yields look set to end the week on a much firmer note than they started as the prospect of a massive federal budget [..]

US Open Note – Stocks largely silent, dollar stumbles and yields provide no support

Posted on May 27, 2021 at 1:45 pm GMT

Stocks hint risk absence, dollar loses confidence, GDP and jobless claims draw focus The mood in markets seems to be subdued with major US indices remaining largely unchanged after today’s US GDP and weekly unemployment claims. The dollar seems to be playing defence as the 10-year yield dips to 1.53%. The dollar index is consolidating around the 90.00 mark. The pound has performed well, pivoting around $1.4100 and building strong traction on the dollar’s slight setback. The euro recouped earlier [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed taper talk gathers momentum; dollar, stocks mixed as yields inch up

Posted on May 27, 2021 at 9:39 am GMT

Fed’s Quarles joins Clarida in signalling taper debate may start soon, but yields rise only slightly Prospect of less stimulus keeps dollar supported near one-week high as stocks struggle Taper signals thwart gold’s bid above $1,900/oz, Oil weighed by possible Iran supply boost No tantrum but markets take note of Fed shift Speculation that the Federal Reserve is edging closer to discussing a reduction in the pace of asset purchases dampened the market mood slightly on Thursday, though the lack [..]

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