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GBPUSD

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US Open Note – Stocks slip again, and greenback remains buoyant

Posted on October 6, 2021 at 1:43 pm GMT

Risk appetite absent as dollar resilient after ADP jobs data Risk sentiment remains somewhat suppressed today, while rising US yields and growing inflationary pressures have kept the advance in the reserve currency buoyant. Yesterday’s reading of 53.0 in the ISM services PMI’s employment component, may have assisted today’s upbeat ADP employment data, which showed private non-farm payrolls rising by 568K, beating the forecast of 425K. Stubbornly high inflation and a strong NFP number could provide fuel for the Fed to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stagflation fears hit sentiment as RBNZ hikes rates and oil jumps again

Posted on October 6, 2021 at 9:08 am GMT

Stocks struggle amid the growing threat of global stagflation RBNZ raises rates but kiwi falls as US dollar extends gains WTI futures hit 7-year high, fuelling inflation worries as oil rally continues Sentiment sours again as stagflation fears persist Global equities were back in the red on Wednesday as concerns about sluggish growth and higher inflation returned to haunt investors. The shift towards tighter monetary policy by central banks amid worsening supply shortages around the world and surging commodity prices [..]

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US Open Note – Equities heal wounds but risks still in play; RBNZ in focus

Posted on October 5, 2021 at 1:50 pm GMT

Stock markets enjoy some recovery, but not for long While central banks keep talking about a transitory inflation, investors seem to walk on thin ice, wondering whether the combination of supply chain disruptions, rocketing energy prices and labor shortages need to be taken more seriously as initial symptoms of stagflation. Although there is no convincing evidence of stagflation yet, headlines have been more depressing than cheerful around business struggles lately, and that was enough to ghost traders and knock down [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD finds resistance at 23.6% Fibonacci in descending channel

Posted on October 5, 2021 at 6:54 am GMT

GBPUSD has been developing in a downward sloping channel since the beginning of June, with the price recently posting another rebound at the bottom of this structure at 1.3410.  The cable is currently testing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 1.4248 to 1.3410 at 1.3608. In technical indicators, the MACD oscillator is trying to overcome its trigger line in the negative territory. However, the RSI indicator is pointing down below its neutral threshold of 50, while the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks static and yields fail to aid dollar

Posted on October 4, 2021 at 2:22 pm GMT

OPEC and global energy risks; Central Banks and NFP report are drivers of the week Market uncertainty lingers but the greenback’s haven appeal remains muted, as a global energy crisis threatens recoveries across the globe. Stocks are slightly on the back foot to start the week and the dollar remains feeble as the 10-year yield provides no support. Uncertainty out of China around a property developer giant and rising energy prices, with the UK being hit the worst, maybe weighing [..]

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Technical analysis – GBPUSD falls without a parachute

Posted on October 1, 2021 at 6:16 am GMT

GBPUSD sliced through some crucial support levels this week, erasing all its gains for the year. The pair rebounded off the 1.3410 support region, but there’s a series of lower highs and lower lows forming since early June. Indeed, the 50-day moving average (MA) has also crossed below the 200-day one, forming a ‘death cross’. All this points to a downtrend.  The short-term oscillators are mixed, with the RSI reflecting the latest rebound in the price action but the MACD [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD chops higher after fresh 2021 low

Posted on September 30, 2021 at 3:06 pm GMT

GBPUSD chopped back to the upside on Thursday after two days of sharp declines which breached the previous 2021 trough of 1.3449 and marked a new low for the year at 1.3411. Wednesday’s close below the lower Bollinger band suggests that the recent sell-off is overstretched, with the RSI and the MACD backing this narrative too, as the former is pivoting near its 30 oversold level and the latter is testing a former support area. Yet, as long as the [..]

Week Ahead – US jobs report, RBNZ rate hike may further roil markets amid turbulence

Posted on September 30, 2021 at 2:17 pm GMT

Just as central banks thought it was safe to begin closing the taps on stimulus, warning signals are flashing red across the markets as fears grow of a sharp slowdown in growth in the major economies. However, policymakers are expected to stay on the tightening path for now, with the September jobs report likely giving the Fed the green light to taper in November, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will probably press on with a telegraphed rate hike. [..]

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US Open Note – Greenback still in positive mode as US government shutdown averted

Posted on September 30, 2021 at 1:10 pm GMT

Dollar completes green days; initial jobless claims and GDP published The dollar is still in a surging mode, with dollar index being in positive green for the fifth day in a row, hitting fresh one-year highs of 94.50. Also, dollar/yen is completing a new 20-month high at 112.07. Euro/dollar is hovering near the 20-month trough of 1.1567, posting aggressive losses in the last days. Finally, cable found support near $1.34 and is returning north. US futures are pointing for a positive open [..]

Daily Market Comment – King dollar reclaims throne, stocks stabilize

Posted on September 30, 2021 at 9:13 am GMT

Dollar powers higher as traders play defense, sterling in pain Stocks stabilize amid some bargain hunting but remain fragile Gold trades heavy, government shutdown vote in Congress today Dollar takes no prisoners The US dollar sliced through several crucial resistance barriers yesterday, reclaiming its throne as the king of the FX arena without any clear catalyst behind this powerful move. Some players are likely just playing defense, hedging against a range of devastating scenarios such as a persistent rally in [..]

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