All Articles Tagged - Fed

US Open Note – Markets calm down ahead of Jackson Hole

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 12:53 pm GMT

FOMC meeting and Jackson Hole attract attention There have been several confusing messages leading up to the summit (27 August). The Fed’s vice chair, Clarida, hinted at an early taper when he stated that rates could rise as early as 2022. In the US, the number of covid cases and deaths is on the rise. Especially after Kaplan’s comments on Friday, investors are increasingly focused on this factor in the run-up to the FOMC. This Thursday, the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium gets underway, and it [..]

What will the Fed signal at Jackson Hole? – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 24, 2021 at 2:11 pm GMT

The Federal Reserve’s annual economic symposium will come to a crescendo when Chairman Powell speaks on Friday at 14:00 GMT. There was a lot of buzz that the Fed would use this event to warn it will dial back its asset purchases soon, but markets are thinking otherwise now thanks to the raging Delta outbreak. Despite the delay, it’s only a matter of time until the Fed tapers, which is what matters most for the dollar. Going virtual The US [..]

US Open Note – FX markets head south; stocks continue to drop

Posted on August 20, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

Dollar index rises slightly Watered-down expectations heading into Jackson Hole next week reveal more about the economy than the Fed’s plans to taper. If the Fed does not announce a taper soon, the fear is that they will not have the opportunity to do so if the US virus situation does not get better in the coming months. The US dollar index is surging to a new nine-month high of 93.67 today, posting the fifth consecutive green day. The greenback is flattening against the Japanese [..]

US Open Note – FOMC minutes next on the radar; greenback steady

Posted on August 18, 2021 at 1:13 pm GMT

Dollar awaits FOMC minutes for notable move The major highlight of the day is expected to be the FOMC minutes announcement. In the run up to the Jackson Hole Symposium next week, the minutes from the July 27-28 meeting will be of considerable interest. Investors are anticipating to see a highly hawkish tone in the minutes. A hawkish change is likely to occur in the September Dot Plots, with median launch expectations for a rate hike moving to 2022. The [..]

US Open Note – US retail sales released with minor impact on dollar; kiwi tumbles

Posted on August 17, 2021 at 1:06 pm GMT

US retail sales miss is mild hit to dollar The recovery in the US dollar after Friday’s sell-off is continuing today, with only a minor market reaction after the retail sales release. Retail sales in the US rose by 1.1% m/m in July versus -0.3% that was the forecast and from an upwardly revised 0.7% in the previous month. The US dollar index is up two days in a row and has nearly retraced half of its previous day’s loss. Dollar/yen is recouping some of the losses of the previous days, trading above 109.00. US [..]

US Open Note – Yen surges due to risk-off factors; oil plunges

Posted on August 16, 2021 at 12:44 pm GMT

Dollar marginally up; Stocks ease The market is beginning the week on a cautious note. The US dollar index is ticking marginally up after a strong negative session, while US futures are suggesting a negative open after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones completed new record highs on Friday. Euro/dollar failed to surpass the 1.1800 psychological level on Friday and is moving lower, while pound/dollar is hovering around 1.3870. Yen shines; commodity currencies fall The yen has risen sharply because of several risk-off factors, all [..]

US Open Note – Dollar is marginally down; euro shines

Posted on August 13, 2021 at 12:32 pm GMT

Dollar eases before Fed releases minutes next week The dollar is dropping from four-month highs as traders are waiting next week for more clues about the Federal Reserve plans for how and when it will unravel its massive stimulus program. After scaling a high of 93.13 earlier in the week, the dollar index has been lingering around 92.95 since Wednesday, when it was driven down by CPI data. Dollar/yen is creating the third consecutive red day after the climb to 110.80. The euro rebounded against the greenback even after yesterday’s [..]

Will ‘king dollar’ reclaim its throne as the Fed tapers? – Special Report

Posted on August 11, 2021 at 3:05 pm GMT

One by one, Fed officials are getting behind the idea that their asset purchases should be dialed back soon. Whether this is announced in September or November doesn’t matter much. What matters is that the Fed is years ahead of the ECB and BoJ in the normalization game. The dollar held its ground recently even as US yields crumbled, so it could really shine once tapering gets rolling and Congress delivers even more fiscal juice. Falling into line More and [..]

US Open Note – Dollar pulls back after US CPI data release

Posted on August 11, 2021 at 1:04 pm GMT

US CPI data drives dollar lower All eyes were on the US CPI data release today. The US consumer price inflation rate remained at 5.4% in July, the same as the previous 13-year high and marginally above market predictions of 5.3%, mirroring the low base effect caused by the coronavirus crisis. There were not any surprises for the market; however, the dollar slipped from the five-week high of 110.80 versus the yen that was printed earlier today. The dollar index [..]

US Open Note – Dollar leads the way as euro falters; oil soars

Posted on August 10, 2021 at 1:04 pm GMT

Dollar heads up but faces some downside pressure; stocks unchanged The US dollar is broadly heading north today on predictions that the Federal Reserve will eventually reduce its stimulus program, but it has come under pressure versus some majors. Strong job numbers on Friday showed that the economy is still recovering. With markets nearing all-time highs because of the Fed’s exceptional stimulus measures, Bostic believes that another solid month or two of job growth should trigger the central bank to begin tapering its asset purchases, and that the Fed should proceed [..]

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