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EURUSD

US retail sales may dim hopes of a quick recovery – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 12, 2020 at 12:54 pm GMT

US retail sales for the month of July will hit the markets on Friday at 12:30 GMT and expectations are for a sharp slowdown from June’s remarkable growth. While a weaker data set is highly expected, traders may pay attention to the size of damage that the virus caused on consumption. The outcome may provide some policy direction, driving the dollar accordingly.   US retail sales to sharply decelerate in July Following May’s historical monthly expansion of 18.2%, US retail sales [..]

Daily Market Comment – Vaccine fever shakes markets, RBNZ shoots kiwi down

Posted on August 12, 2020 at 8:13 am GMT

Vaccine news catapult global yields higher, push stocks lower Gold falls without a parachute – has it peaked? Dollar inches higher amidst the turbulence, but Fed speakers are a risk RBNZ expands QE and opens door to negative rates, kiwi stumbles   Putin says Russia has developed the first vaccine President Vladimir Putin unleashed mayhem in financial markets on Tuesday, after he announced to the world that Russia has developed the first successful coronavirus vaccine. Global bond yields erupted higher [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks flirt with record highs, gold retraces

Posted on August 11, 2020 at 8:21 am GMT

S&P 500 cruises towards all-time high as Trump floats capital gains tax cut Markets also take heart from ‘soft’ Chinese retaliation against US Gold pulls back as dollar and bond yields recover RBNZ meets overnight, might ‘talk down’ the kiwi more forcefully Wall Street sets its sights on new records Financial markets seem to have concluded that better days lie ahead for the global economy, with most asset classes trading in a buoyant manner this week. The S&P 500 is [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDJPY fails to improve positive picture

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 8:46 am GMT

USDJPY is testing the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart and the upper boundary of the Bollinger band, remaining around the 106.00 handle. The RSI indicator is pointing slightly up in the positive territory, while the stochastic oscillator is in process to post the bullish crossover within the %K and %D lines below the 80 level. A successful jump above the 106.07 resistance could open the way for the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar gets a second wind after US payrolls, can it last?

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 8:01 am GMT

Decent US jobs report triggers a short squeeze in the dollar Is the reversing trend in European/American virus cases going to show up in euro/dollar? Trump signs executive orders to bypass Congress and provide more stimulus Muted market reaction to this – does it imply less stimulus overall? Dollar shorts get squeezed after payrolls The world’s reserve currency got a second wind on Friday, recovering some lost ground after a decent US employment report saw traders cover or trim some [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD returns lower after touching 27-month high above 1.1900

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 6:18 am GMT

EURUSD had been in a strong bullish rally until it reached a new 27-month high of 1.1915 on Thursday, that caused the pair to correct down below the 1.1800 round number. The technical indicators are losing momentum as the MACD completed a bearish crossover with its trigger line, while the RSI is hovering near the 70 level, failing to improve any positive actions. The 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are still heading upwards. Immediate support for further downside [..]

Week Ahead – Dollar eyes US stimulus talks, retail sales; UK GDP and RBNZ in focus too

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 1:10 pm GMT

Congressional talks in the United States on a new virus relief package will dominate the market headlines yet again in the coming week as the durability of the latest risk-on episode rests on a deal being reached. But investors will also be keeping a close watch on US retail sales figures to gauge how well consumption is holding up amid renewed virus restrictions. Progress on the recovery will be preoccupying the pound too as UK GDP numbers for Q2 and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump fans the geopolitical flames ahead of NFP

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 8:10 am GMT

Nonfarm payrolls to set the tone for markets, along with stimulus negotiations Trump fires another salvo at Beijing, bans transactions with Tencent, moves to delist Chinese firms Geopolitical worries keep dollar alive, Wall Street set to snap 5-day winning streak Nonfarm payrolls: A most uncertain one The main event today will be the US employment report for July. The consensus is for the US economy to have added another 1.6 million jobs, pushing the unemployment rate down to 10.5%, from [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD trend signals turn greener

Posted on August 6, 2020 at 2:27 pm GMT

EURUSD is stubbornly pushing for a close above the 1.1900 level this week, having surpassed it already, though marginally. In the weekly timeframe, hopes for more improvement have strengthened after the price breached a 12-year old resistance trendline, while the first bullish cross between the 20- and 50-weekly simple moving averages (SMA) in three years is further boosting the sentiment. Should the pair claim the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 1.2554-1.0636 downtrend at 1.1820, closing above the 1.1900 level too, the door would open for the 1.2130 restrictive [..]

Daily Market Comment – Bank of England lifts sterling; dollar battered but still standing

Posted on August 6, 2020 at 8:25 am GMT

Sterling jumps after BoE seems reluctant towards negative rates, upgrades forecasts Stocks climb, dollar resumes downfall as markets keep betting Congress will deliver Dollar testing a crucial support area again – tomorrow’s NFP may be pivotal Otherwise, the spotlight remains on whether Congress will reach a deal soon BoE strikes a more cheerful tone, pound listens The Bank of England (BoE) unanimously voted to keep its policy unchanged today and struck a fairly optimistic tone. Even though it acknowledged the [..]

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