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EURUSD

Week Ahead – Can the ECB clip the euro’s wings?

Posted on December 4, 2020 at 12:51 pm GMT

It will be another action-packed week in global markets, with two central bank meetings, a potential US stimulus agreement, and a flurry of economic data. The European Central Bank is certain to shower investors with more liquidity. Yet, this move has already been telegraphed and priced in, so if policymakers want to sink the supercharged euro, they need to over-deliver. The political arena will continue to excite as well, with the Brexit talks now in their final stage. All markets [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stimulus deal moves closer, Brexit talks ‘go backwards’

Posted on December 4, 2020 at 9:49 am GMT

Stocks at records or near highs as US Republicans change tune on new stimulus Brexit talks go down to the wire, but will France cause a last-minute upset? Dollar slide pauses ahead of NFP report Oil jumps to 9-month high despite OPEC+ raising production early Fresh hopes for US stimulus deal before Christmas Support for a bipartisan stimulus proposal of up to $908 billion gained unexpected traction yesterday as more and more Republicans threw their weight behind the plan. The [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD upside risks remain, regardless of slight ebbing

Posted on December 3, 2020 at 10:24 am GMT

EURUSD is conveying a strong bullish tone rocketing above the Ichimoku lines and the simple moving averages (SMAs), despite currently receding from seven-month high levels. The soaring Ichimoku lines are promoting positive price action while the advancing SMAs are defending positive sentiment. The short-term oscillators are reflecting some waning in positive momentum. The MACD, quite some distance in the positive region, is stalling ever so slightly above its red trigger line, while the RSI is making efforts to remain in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar sinks again on rising optimism but stock rally cools

Posted on December 3, 2020 at 10:03 am GMT

Dollar slide deepens as stimulus and vaccine hopes drive positive theme But vaccine-led rally may have run its course in equity markets as stocks mixed today Tense Brexit talks keep pound on edge, euro roars past $1.21 Oil slips ahead of OPEC+ decision; gold extends rebound The US dollar slipped further on Thursday, slumping to fresh 31-month lows against a basket of currencies, as investors dumped the world’s reserve currency in the face of increased optimism about the global economic [..]

NFP report could flag slowing jobs recovery; may accelerate dollar slide – Forex News Preview

Posted on December 2, 2020 at 2:18 pm GMT

The November nonfarm payrolls report will take centre stage on Friday (13:30 GMT) as cracks begin to appear in America’s economic recovery from the pandemic. If recent weekly jobless claims are any indication, the US labour market slowed notably during November. An expected cooling in jobs growth is likely to add pressure on the Federal Reserve to inject more monetary stimulus. But as the dollar goes into freefall in anticipation of a December move, are investors underestimating the risk of [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stimulus, vaccine euphoria push stocks to new highs, dollar sags

Posted on December 2, 2020 at 9:52 am GMT

US stimulus hopes revived after fresh efforts to kickstart talks Vaccine rollouts edge closer after UK approval Stocks scale new heights, but signs of exhausted rally Dollar slump deepens even as Treasury yields jump Brexit jitters take steam out of pound rally Optimism soars as stimulus talks back on Markets had plenty to cheer about on Wednesday as reports of renewed efforts by US lawmakers to kickstart the stalled stimulus talks were followed by news that Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine has won [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks resume gains, dollar whipsaws as optimism returns

Posted on December 1, 2020 at 10:01 am GMT

Asian recovery gathers speed, pulling global stocks higher Dollar bounces higher, then falls as temporary growth jitters subside Powell offers no policy clues in prepared remarks as US data underwhelms Pound spikes above $1.34 as Brexit deal speculation heats up Recovery back on track, at least in Asia Strong manufacturing PMIs out of Asian powerhouses lifted the market mood on Tuesday, reversing some of the gloom that set in yesterday from soft US indicators. A quickening in the manufacturing revival [..]

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Eurozone deflation, PMI slump point to ECB action, yet euro is soaring – Forex News Preview

Posted on November 30, 2020 at 3:49 pm GMT

The flash prints for November inflation are due out of the Eurozone on Tuesday (10:00 GMT) along with a host of other data that should provide the latest glance on how the economy is faring. The inflation numbers are expected to reveal that the euro area experienced falling prices again in November, while the final PMI readings will probably confirm that business activity shrank during the month. The deteriorating economic conditions come as the euro is flirting with the key [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar slips again on Fed speculation; stocks pause for breath

Posted on November 30, 2020 at 9:58 am GMT

Dollar extends slide as investors look to Powell testimony and NFP report for Fed clues Stocks stumble at start of week, but vaccine progress keeps risk appetite alive Pound still holding out for Brexit breakthrough as time running out Oil slips as OPEC+ unlikely to agree on long extension to output cuts Dollar remains pinned down in crucial week There was no end in sight to the US dollar’s losing streak at the start of the new trading week as [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD claims 3-month high; near a critical make or break point

Posted on November 30, 2020 at 8:59 am GMT

EURUSD’s refusal to dive below the 1.1600 floor for the second time has developed into a bullish wave in November, pushing the price comfortably into the 1.1900 area and to an almost three-month high of 1.1975 on Monday. From a technical perspective there is scope for additional improvement in the short run as the price is deviating above the Ichimoku cloud and its 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). In other encouraging signals, the MACD continues to gain momentum [..]

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