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EURUSD

Week Ahead – European PMIs could spell more bad news for euro

Posted on November 19, 2021 at 10:23 am GMT

The euro has been demolished by fears that new lockdowns will hit economic growth. This has turbocharged the dollar as traders look for shelter, and the upcoming business surveys will be crucial for whether this rotation continues. Meanwhile, markets are split on whether the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will deliver a single or double rate increase, leaving the kiwi vulnerable in case the central bank ‘plays it safe’.  Euro gets hammered The single currency has been taken to the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fresh records for Wall Street; euro gets kicked by Lagarde again

Posted on November 19, 2021 at 10:20 am GMT

Optimism returns to equity markets as US stocks scale fresh all-time highs Rate hike expectations go into overdrive, dollar comes out the winner Dovish Lagarde deals another blow to battered euro Growth fears ease after solid data, buoy stocks After struggling a bit in the last couple of days, global stock markets look set to end the week firmly higher, led by another record close on Wall Street on Thursday. A robust set of economic indicators out of the United [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar eases awaiting new market movers; Turkish lira plummets

Posted on November 18, 2021 at 1:57 pm GMT

Initial jobless claims come out; dollar still falling US jobless claims declined by one thousand in the week ending November 13th, a new pandemic low as the labor market continues to slowly recover from the coronavirus hit. The US dollar index is continuing the selling interest that started on Thursday, flirting with 95.60. Dollar/yen is hovering above 114.00 after posting a new high yesterday. Euro/dollar is jumping above the 16-month low of 1.1263, recouping some losses, while pound/dollar is approaching 1.3500. US stock futures are heading for a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks turn red, euro steadier but lira tumbles

Posted on November 18, 2021 at 10:02 am GMT

Wall Street slips amid faster tapering fears as dollar rally pauses for breath Euro steadier, kiwi surges on rising inflation expectations but Turkish lira crumbles Oil slide deepens after US asks other countries to release strategic reserves Stocks hit by inflation woes Jitters about how further spikes in inflation might begin to hurt corporate earnings as well as spur the Federal Reserve to hasten its tapering timetable weighed on Wall Street on Wednesday. With signs that consumer spending in the [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar climbs as prices and yields tick higher

Posted on November 17, 2021 at 2:49 pm GMT

Global inflation risks prevail, Canada delivers CPI data The US economy appears to be recovering well in the last quarter of the year and subsequently, speculation about a fresh Fed Chairman being appointed seems to be fading in the horizon. Yesterday’s surprise surge in US retail sales by 1.7% m/m in October hints that consumption remains at elevated levels. However, these figures are nominal as rising price pressures persist. The dollar index has touched 96.24, levels last seen in July [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD trades above the fresh 16-month trough

Posted on November 17, 2021 at 2:15 pm GMT

EURUSD is recovering some of the losses it suffered earlier today, finding support at the new 16-month low of 1.1263. The pair has fallen below the steep long-term downtrend line, which is acting as a significant resistance level. The RSI is turning up from its oversold zone; however, the MACD is stretching its negative momentum below its trigger and zero lines. If the price continues to rebound, immediate resistance could be faced from the 1.1365 barrier ahead of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 1.2267 to 1.1263 [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro in freefall as outlook dims; pound gains on inflation jump

Posted on November 17, 2021 at 9:59 am GMT

Euro tumbles again as dovish ECB and mounting worries weigh Pound modestly higher after UK inflation tops 4% Dollar reigns supreme as strong US data run continues Euro can’t catch a break The euro is sinking, stretching its week-long slide and breaching the $1.13 level for the first time since July 2020, as investors turn more bearish on the Eurozone outlook. The single currency had already come under heavy selling pressure from last week’s big jump in US inflation, which [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar continues march higher after the US retail sales release

Posted on November 16, 2021 at 2:04 pm GMT

US retail sales ticks up US retail sales are the highlight of today. The figure climbed by 1.7% m/m for October as compared to 0.8% in the previous month, driving the greenback higher. Despite supply issues and delivery delays, there is a strong belief that customers will begin their holiday shopping earlier this year. Vice President Biden has made his selection for the position of Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Powell is the most qualified candidate, even though Brainard has [..]

Daily Market Comment – Higher yields cap Wall Street gains but lift dollar, pound catches a bid

Posted on November 16, 2021 at 10:10 am GMT

Inflation worries lift Treasury yields, holding back stocks; retailer earnings in focus Little to report from Biden-Xi summit but easing tensions boost yuan Euro and pound pulled in opposite directions by policymakers, dollar holds firm It’s still all about inflation Uncertainty about the persistence of higher inflation continues to dog investor sentiment amid ongoing speculation about the timing of interest rate hikes by the world’s major central banks. A stronger-than-expected jump in the New York Fed’s manufacturing gauge on Monday [..]

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US Open Note – Greenback slips as Fed tapering starts

Posted on November 15, 2021 at 2:04 pm GMT

Fed tapering begins According to the FOMC meeting of November 2-3, tapering will begin this week as planned. The New York Fed announced its modified bond-purchase schedule last week, confirming that tapering will start this month. Until June, the Federal Reserve intends to keep reducing its purchases by $15 billion each month. There is a possibility of a change in tapering speed, but the Fed has indicated that it will only do so if it is necessary. Futures for the Fed Funds rate are still pricing in a Q2 liftoff of roughly two-thirds, while [..]

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