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EURUSD

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD holds above 200-period SMA

Posted on July 4, 2024 at 9:52 am GMT

EURUSD continues the rebound off 1.0670 Price is bullish in near term Momentum oscillators are mixed EURUSD is finding strong support at the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart near 1.0785. Also, the pair has been holding in an upside tendency after the bounce off 1.0670, with the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger and zero lines. However, the RSI is flattening slightly beneath the 70 level. If the bulls drive the market higher, then the [..]

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Market Comment – Dollar skids on ISM services dip, pound steady as UK votes

Posted on July 4, 2024 at 8:59 am GMT

ISM services PMI points to unexpected contraction in June Treasury yields and dollar take a dive, but Wall Street rallies Pound in bullish mode as UK goes to the polls amid broader risk appetite September rate cut seen more likely Expectations of a September rate cut got another boost on Wednesday after the ISM services PMI fell into contractionary territory, adding to the growing signs of a slowing US economy. The closely watched PMI indicator for the non-manufacturing sector fell [..]

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Market Comment – Market craves dovish Fedspeak as US stocks reach new highs

Posted on July 3, 2024 at 8:16 am GMT

US stocks rally after Chairman Powell’s comments Focus on key US data today ahead of Thursday’s bank holiday Dovish ECB commentary to keep euro under pressure Dollar/yen rally continues US stocks rally after Powell’s comments The ECB-dominated forum held in Sintra, Portugal, managed to produce market-moving headlines for the Fed. Chairman Powell’s comment that “we are back in a disinflationary environment” resulted in a strong rally in the US equities. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices recorded new all-time [..]

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Market Comment – Yen’s misery worsens, euro lower after CPI dip, dollar awaits Powell

Posted on July 2, 2024 at 9:06 am GMT

Yen sinks to fresh 38-year low as officials refrain from verbal intervention Euro pares gains after CPI dip and French election uncertainty Dollar edges up on higher yields, but caution ahead of Powell comments Yen languishes at 38-year low    The Japanese yen ploughed a fresh 38-year low against its US counterpart on Tuesday, hitting 161.75 per dollar, amid ongoing doubts about the Bank of Japan’s ambition to normalize monetary policy and an unexpected pickup in US yields. There’s been [..]

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Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Posted on July 2, 2024 at 6:50 am GMT

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April intervention. In the meantime, volatility in both gold and silver has eased considerably despite the [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD slides after bullish gap

Posted on July 1, 2024 at 12:45 pm GMT

EURUSD pulls back from 50-day SMA RSI and MACD still point up EURUSD opened with a bullish gap today after the French elections on Sunday but is currently trading near its opening level. The price stands beneath the 1.0720 resistance level, with an indication of recouping the gap. The RSI and the MACD are heading north beneath their mid-levels. In case of a successful rally beyond the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 1.0800 round number, then the bulls [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURUSD gaps higher over potential French hung parliament

Posted on July 1, 2024 at 9:20 am GMT

EURUSD surges after French far-right party wins first race with weaker majority Bullish bias expected to come above 1.0788; sellers could take control below 1.0670   EURUSD opened with a positive gap on Monday after Le Pen’s far right party dominated the first round of the election on Sunday with a smaller margin than analysts expected, increasing speculation that an absolute majority on July 7 might be a struggle for the Euro-sceptic party. The pair ran to an almost three-week [..]

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Market Comment – Euro breathes better but not out of the woods yet

Posted on July 1, 2024 at 7:56 am GMT

European stock markets higher after French elections result Key euro area data today as the annual ECB forum starts Dollar on the back foot amidst a very busy week Yen remains under pressure Euro gains despite strong result from the National Rally party France’s National Rally party confirmed expectations by winning the highest level of support in the first round of the country’s parliamentary elections, ahead of the left-wing New Popular Front coalition and miles ahead of Macron’s centrist alliance. National [..]

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What can we expect from the ISM business PMIs next week? – Preview

Posted on June 28, 2024 at 1:49 pm GMT

ISM manufacturing PMI to tick higher; services PMI to lose some pace Business outlook could stay unchanged; rate cut forecasts will remain inflation-driven    EURUSD stays neutral after core PCE inflation; needs a strong rebound above 1.0885   What happened previously? Dollar traders will pay close attention to the US ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI readings for June due on Monday and Wednesday respectively at 14:00 GMT. While Friday’s US nonfarm payrolls report will be the big event next week, [..]

Week Ahead – French and UK elections on the horizon, US jobs report eyed too

Posted on June 28, 2024 at 10:32 am GMT

France and UK go to the polls; will elections bring chaos or order? US payrolls report for June awaited as Fed hawks don’t budge Eurozone CPI, Fed minutes and ECB forum also on investors’ radar Macron’s gamble set to backfire Political risks came back to haunt the euro in June as the resurgence in popularity for far-right parties sparked jitters in financial markets. France has been at the centre of this resurgence where Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party is [..]

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