All Articles Tagged - EURUSD

US Open Note – Stocks pare gains; European currencies slip too after nice rally

Posted on May 18, 2022 at 1:40 pm GMT

Recession not fully priced in Who will pay the price? That’s the question that bothers investors nowadays as businesses feel more confident to transfer rising production costs to consumers and central banks constantly message markets that additional rate increases are the immediate solution for spiraling inflation. Further monetary tightening is largely anticipated in the UK as inflation clocked in at a new 40-year high of 9.0% y/y as expected in April, while the Fed chief stated yesterday that rates could [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD fails to overcome 20-day SMA

Posted on May 18, 2022 at 12:56 pm GMT

EURUSD is pulling back from the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), returning near the 1.0500 psychological mark. The downside reversal in the RSI justifies the diminishing buying pressure, as it is turning lower in the negative territory. The MACD is also comfortably within the negative territory but above its red signal line. Should selling forces strengthen, the more-than-five-year low of 1.0345 will come under the spotlight. Moving lower, the 1.0220 hurdle, taken from the inside swing high on July 2002 [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street rallies despite Powell’s inflation resolve

Posted on May 18, 2022 at 9:33 am GMT

Rebound in equities gathers steam even as Powell pledges to keep raising rates Jump in UK inflation fails to sustain pound’s bounce back as dollar strengthens But sentiment still overall fragile as China and inflation worries persist US data shores up stocks as Powell gets tough An upbeat set of economic pointers in the United States boosted sentiment on Wall Street on Tuesday, suggesting that financial conditions have yet to substantially tighten following the start of the Fed’s normalization process. [..]

US Open Note – Upbeat data drive risk-on mode ahead of Powell’s speech; Euro gears up on rate hike outlook

Posted on May 17, 2022 at 1:27 pm GMT

Pound is the best performer, but for how long? Markets were volatile ahead of the US open, with the European currencies switching to recovery mode after a period of heavy selling, and the US dollar index losing some steam as some rosy data releases shifted funds to riskier assets and hopes for China easing lockdown measures flourished. Upbeat employment and wage data out of the UK triggered the largest daily increase in the British pound in months. Strikingly, the number [..]

US Open Note – Dollar cools off, euro turns up and gold back to $1,800

Posted on May 16, 2022 at 12:53 pm GMT

Chinese data drives dollar higher In the wake of disappointing Chinese economic statistics, which sent the British pound and the Australian dollar down, the US dollar held onto its two-decade high earlier in the day. The surge in the dollar has been fuelled by China’s long-term economic lockdowns, which have contributed together with other uncertainties to an almost 10% rise in the dollar index since the beginning of 2022. In April, China’s retail and industrial activity declined substantially due to widespread Covid-19 lockdowns, which kept workers [..]

Daily Market Comment – China worries hit sentiment, equities wobble, dollar firms

Posted on May 16, 2022 at 9:30 am GMT

Markets get off to a shaky start after poor Chinese data as stocks slip But lockdown easing in Shanghai provides some relief Dollar mostly higher, euro edges up as hawkish noises from ECB continue Recession fears heightened after slump in China activity Fresh jitters about recessionary risks dented sentiment on Monday, weighing on stocks, oil and risky currencies, following some disappointing data out of China that greeted investors at the start of the week’s trading. Industrial production in the world’s [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD muted between key boundaries; risk skewed to the downside

Posted on May 16, 2022 at 6:47 am GMT

EURUSD declined to its lowest level since January 2017, hitting the 1.0345 support level on Friday. The aggressive selling interest has continued since it began last May, and the technical indicators have been in a negative zone in the last few months as well. The RSI is flattening near its 30 level, while the MACD is still strengthening its bearish momentum below its trigger and zero lines. Should the latest bottom at 1,0345 crack, the price could initially test the 1.0220 support, taken from the [..]

US Open Note – Fed Chair Powell alleviates doom and gloom in stock futures

Posted on May 13, 2022 at 1:27 pm GMT

Dollar steady while Treasury yields rise, risk appetite cautiously improves The Chief of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has managed to calm market concerns around rate hikes, reiterating that the Fed is prepared to act accordingly, depending on whether the economy performs as expected. Nonetheless, the worrying rhetoric linked to tightening monetary policy in these times we live in, continues to fan the flames of negative sentiment. Treasury yields rose with the 10-year yielding 2.91%, the 5-year 2.86% and the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Panic eases, dollar cools, but sentiment remains fragile

Posted on May 13, 2022 at 9:34 am GMT

The week-long selloff gripping risky assets pauses, for now Yields also steady, dollar comes off highs after Powell provides some reassurances Cryptos bounce back as stablecoins reeling after crash A calmer end to a torrid week Markets were looking a lot steadier on Friday as the global rout in equities began to subside and demand for safe havens waned slightly. Stocks have been on the backfoot since the end of March. But the selloff accelerated last week after the Fed [..]

US Open Note – Dollar unlocks 20-year high; euro breaks $1.04

Posted on May 12, 2022 at 12:57 pm GMT

Dollar surges but dips against yen The dollar touched a two-decade high against a basket of currencies after US inflation fell less than expected in April. Dollar/yen is declining by 1%, meeting the 129.40 level. Despite increasingly hawkish ECB rhetoric, the euro is trading below $1.0400, falling by 1.0%, with the next key support coming at $1.0340. Euro/yen and pound/yen are plummeting over 2% today. US stock futures are suggesting a strong negative open, continuing the several days of losses. The safe-haven greenback gained support from a worldwide equity sell-off because of investor concerns that central banks are behind the curve [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.

EURUSD

XM Live Chat