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EURGBP

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Technical Analysis – EURGBP recoups losses but with weak momentum

Posted on September 4, 2024 at 12:24 pm GMT

EURGBP rebounds off 0.8400 Price remains beneath SMAs RSI and MACD point up EURGBP is recovering somewhat after the plunge from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.8545, losing 1.7%. The RSI is also trying to gain some ground beneath the 50 level, while the MACD oscillator’s negative momentum is weakening beneath its trigger and zero lines. If price action remains above 0.8400 (immediate support), there is scope to test the 50-day SMA at 0.8465 ahead of the downward [..]

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Volatility eases across the board ahead of key US data – Volatility Watch

Posted on September 3, 2024 at 9:46 am GMT

Euro/dollar volatility drops as market prepares for an action-packed week Volatility in commodities crashes to new lows apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much lower volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is preparing for this week’s US labour market data releases that could play a key role in determining the size of the imminent rate cut by the Fed. Similarly, yen pairs are experiencing lower volatility as the [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURGBP flirts with key support territory

Posted on August 29, 2024 at 2:20 pm GMT

EURGBP tumbles, but finds support near 0.8400 RSI and MACD detect bearish momentum But a break below 0.8380 is needed for further declines A move above 0.8500 could keep the picture neutral EURGBP has been in a steady slide since August 8, when it hit the key resistance zone of 0.8625. That said, the pair is currently flirting with the all-important support area of 0.8380-0.8400, a break below which may be needed for the near-term outlook to clearly be considered [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURGBP tilts to the upside in near term

Posted on August 21, 2024 at 8:46 am GMT

EURGBP rebounds off 0.8510 Prices remain above downtrend line RSI and MACD above their mid-levels EURGBP looks to be creating a floor around the 0.8510 support level, with s strong obstacle coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.8545. The pair is developing above the downtrend line but still needs some boost to confirm the bullish structure in the short-term view. The RSI is moving horizontally slightly above the neutral threshold of 50; however, the MACD is losing [..]

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Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Posted on August 20, 2024 at 10:45 am GMT

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks’ interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, anticipating insights on the Fed’s view on the current economic conditions and prospective rate [..]

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Could eurozone PMI surveys cement the September ECB rate cut? – Preview  

Posted on August 19, 2024 at 12:30 pm GMT

Markets are preparing for the Jackson Hole Symposium Eurozone data supports another ECB rate cut PMI surveys for the euro area will be published on Thursday Euro remains on the back foot against the pound The Jackson Hole gathering to break the summer lull Whilst ECB members are probably enjoying their hard-earned holiday break, the countdown to the Jackson Hole Symposium and the crucial September central banks’ meetings has already started. The RBNZ is the latest central bank to ease [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURGBP turns quickly up after UK CPI inflation

Posted on August 14, 2024 at 9:32 am GMT

EURGBP regains strength near 0.8540 after UK CPI surprises to the downside Short-term bias is skewed to the upside; confirmation awaited above 0.8560   EURGBP completed four green weeks since its plunge to a two-year low of 0.8381 and another one is in progress despite the break from a vertical rally that led the price to a three-and-a-half month high of 0.8623. Weaker-than-expected UK CPI data helped the pair to turn up near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the April-July [..]

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Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

Posted on August 13, 2024 at 11:22 am GMT

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks’ interest rate paths. For that reason, volatility in FX pairs has been elevated, albeit a tad softer than last week. The yen crosses remain the most volatile as the BoJ has scrapped [..]

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Market Comment – Stocks edge up in calm before the storm

Posted on August 13, 2024 at 8:18 am GMT

Stocks edge higher as gold benefits from geopolitical risks Pound rallies despite shock claimant count change French political issues return to the foreground RBNZ meeting could lead to significant kiwi underperformance Stocks edge higher as gold climb continues  It was another uneventful session yesterday with most stock indices continuing to recover from last week’s rout. Not much has changed from last week as the market and most investment houses are still looking for a strong Fed rate cut in September. [..]

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Could UK data open the door to more BoE easing? – Preview

Posted on August 12, 2024 at 3:06 pm GMT

The calmer markets could refocus on economic releases Rich UK data calendar could question BoE’s recent rate cut Wednesday’s headline inflation to see a small acceleration Pound is trying to recover from the BoE-induced underperformance Markets to refocus on data Following a rather eventful period, market participants are feeling slightly calmer at the beginning of this week and hence have the chance to refocus on the real economy. Interestingly, Wednesday’s US CPI report could support or defy fears of an imminent US [..]

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