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European Open Preview – Dollar steady despite healthy US data; RBA in focus

Posted on February 4, 2019 at 8:51 am GMT

Dollar unable to rally even after US payrolls smash expectations Risk sentiment mostly in positive territory today amid trade optimism Aussie on the back foot ahead of RBA decision Dollar unimpressed by strong US data, as Fed casts shadow Nonfarm payrolls smashed expectations in January, clocking in at a robust 304k, much higher than the anticipated 165k – though last month’s print was revised down significantly, mitigating some of the good news. Wage growth held steady at 3.2% in annual [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar looks to payrolls; euro halted in its tracks

Posted on February 1, 2019 at 8:40 am GMT

The US employment report takes center stage today; dollar may be at risk Euro turns lower as Italy enters recession, Weidmann strikes dovish tone US stocks advance amid “progress” in trade talks Dollar rebounds, turns its sights to US employment data The dollar shaked off some of its post-FOMC weakness against a basket of six major currencies, mainly because the euro retreated (see below). There was little in terms of US catalysts, but that changes today, as the all-important jobs [..]

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European Open Preview – Dollar suffers losses as Fed abandons hiking plans

Posted on January 31, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Fed removes guidance for more hikes; dollar crumbles, stocks soar Trade talks conclude today – any signs of progress crucial for markets Eurozone releases GDP data, risks seem skewed to the downside Dollar drops, stocks roar as Fed folds on further rate hikes While the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected yesterday, the meeting wasn’t short of surprises. Policymakers adopted an even more cautious tone, dropping the reference that further gradual rate hikes will be needed, instead reiterating the mantra [..]

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European Open Preview – Brexit stays in limbo; Fed decision eyed

Posted on January 30, 2019 at 8:50 am GMT

Fed decides; Powell’s remarks on the balance sheet may be crucial Pound slides as Brexit uncertainty seems set to remain elevated US-China trade talks commence; plethora of earnings and data also due FOMC meeting – emphasis on Powell’s balance sheet remarks The main event today will be the Fed policy decision at 1900 GMT, which will be followed by a press conference from Chairman Powell – as will every meeting from now on. No change in policy is expected, and [..]

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European Open Preview – Companies sound warning on China; Brexit saga rumbles on

Posted on January 29, 2019 at 8:43 am GMT

Risk appetite stays fragile as key companies sound the alarm on Chinese growth In the UK, it may be a deciding day for Brexit as lawmakers vote on various plans Earnings season continues in full throttle today, little on economic calendar Corporate warnings on China rattle stocks, drag oil lower US equity markets closed in the red, after industrial bellwether Caterpillar (-9.1%) reported disappointing earnings and chipmaker Nvidia (-13.8%) slashed its revenue forecasts, both companies pointing the finger to weakening [..]

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European Open Preview – Euro crumbles after ECB; Brexit hopes lift pound

Posted on January 25, 2019 at 9:03 am GMT

Euro closes lower on soft PMIs and ‘vigilant’ Draghi Stocks struggle amid conflicting trade signals Sterling advances on fresh Brexit reports Euro caves in after PMIs sink, Draghi ‘keeps his options open’ Euro/dollar had a particularly turbulent session on Thursday, before ultimately closing lower, caving in under the weight of disappointing PMIs out of the Eurozone and cautious commentary by the ECB. The preliminary manufacturing PMIs out of both Germany and France signaled contraction, revitalizing euro-area growth concerns, while a [..]

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European Open Preview – ECB meets, all eyes on Draghi; pound soars

Posted on January 24, 2019 at 8:36 am GMT

ECB decision and Eurozone PMIs will chart euro’s course today Pound soars to 11-week highs versus dollar as no-deal Brexit risk fades Aussie tumbles on mounting speculation for RBA rate cut Stocks inch higher on strong earnings, dollar rebound stalls ECB meeting & Eurozone PMIs could make-or-break euro/dollar today It will be a crucial session for European assets and the euro itself today. The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its policy decision at 1245 GMT, which will be followed [..]

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European Open Preview – Market sentiment stays fragile, but kiwi shines

Posted on January 23, 2019 at 9:05 am GMT

Risk appetite remains weak as trade and growth concerns resurface BoJ stays on hold, provides no new signals – yen yawns Kiwi outperforms as New Zealand’s inflation prints beat estimates Growth and trade woes keep investors on the defensive Market sentiment remained fragile on Tuesday, with investors cutting their exposure to riskier assets and diverting those funds into safer plays, amid resurgent worries around global growth and trade uncertainties. News that the US will proceed with the extradition of the [..]

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European Open Preview – IMF adds more clouds to global outlook

Posted on January 22, 2019 at 9:22 am GMT

IMF downgrades growth forecasts; stocks feel the pinch May keeps “no-deal Brexit” scenario alive Oil reverses lower amid signs of slowing global economy Risk appetite stays bearish amid growing global growth fears Stocks in Asia had another weak session on Tuesday as pessimism about global growth kept funds away from risky assets, with Chinese equities losing more than 1%. A couple of hours after China reported its slowest quarterly economic expansion since the financial crisis and the lowest annual growth in 30 years, the International Monetary [..]

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European Open Preview – Stocks extend trade gains; Brexit saga continues

Posted on January 21, 2019 at 8:48 am GMT

Reports China is willing to buy more US goods keep risk appetite buoyed Euro/dollar eyes key support area, looks to Thursday’s ECB meeting Today, focus turns back to the UK; PM May presents her alternative Brexit plan Fresh trade headlines propel stocks even higher, yen retreats US equity markets recorded another round of sizeable gains on Friday, with the likes of the S&P 500 (+1.32%) and the Dow Jones (+1.38%) establishing further distance above their respective 50-day moving averages. Meanwhile, [..]

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