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European Open Preview – ECB meeting, EU Brexit summit, and much more

Posted on April 10, 2019 at 7:42 am GMT

Today is packed with market-moving events, including an ECB meeting, an EU summit on Brexit, US inflation data, and Fed minutes ECB is likely to maintain a dovish tone amid growth, trade concerns EU set to offer UK long but ‘flexible’ Brexit extension Meanwhile, trade uncertainty returns to haunt stocks ECB meets – No action, but perhaps more cautious language The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its policy decision at 11:45 GMT, but the real action will likely begin [..]

European Open Preview – US proposes tariffs on EU, but markets remain calm

Posted on April 9, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

US officially proposes tariffs on EU, but market reaction minimal so far Euro advances, looks to ECB meeting tomorrow In Brexit, May will meet Merkel and Macron today ahead of EU summit Lighthizer recommends tariffs on EU – new chapter in trade war? The main story overnight was that the US Trade Representative, Robert Lighthizer, proposed introducing tariffs on a list of 11$bn worth of EU products in retaliation to EU aircraft subsidies. This is the clearest sign yet that [..]

European Open Preview – Fed rate-cut bets grow; oil climbs on Libya woes

Posted on April 8, 2019 at 7:58 am GMT

Dollar little changed after NFP, but Fed rate-cut odds rise In the UK, reports suggest PM May could accept a customs union compromise Oil touches five-month high as Libyan production is threatened Dollar snoozes after mixed jobs data, but rate-cut bets grow The US employment report for March was a mixed bag. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 196k, higher than the consensus for 180k, but wage growth disappointed, with average earnings slowing to 3.2% in annual terms, from a cycle-high [..]

European Open Preview – Equities extend gains; UK Parliament blocks no-deal

Posted on April 4, 2019 at 7:48 am GMT

Pound advances as UK Parliament blocks no-deal exit; all eyes on May-Corbyn talks Equities extend winning streak as trade optimism rides high ECB minutes the highlight on today’s calendar Parliament blocks no-deal Brexit, pound advances The Brexit process continues to dominate headlines. The House of Commons voted by the narrowest of margins (313-312) to force Theresa May to ask the EU for an extension beyond April 12. Lawmakers, not the government, will decide the length of the delay, subject to [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks, dollar rip higher as growth fears ease

Posted on April 2, 2019 at 8:03 am GMT

Rebound in Chinese PMIs fuels rally in global stocks, dollar advances Pound outperforms as ‘soft’ Brexit outcomes or long extension seem likely Aussie drops after RBA recalibrates language Stocks and dollar cruise higher as China-induced rally lingers Global equity markets started the second quarter on a strong footing, after a decent set of PMI data out of China during the weekend calmed some nerves around the global growth outlook, amplifying the appeal of riskier assets. Wall Street shares rallied, with [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar roars back; euro crumbles on soft PMIs

Posted on March 22, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

Dollar recoups Fed losses as other currencies soften Stocks climb amid renewed trade optimism Pound trims losses as EU offers short extension Euro plunges after Germany’s manufacturing PMI signals more pain ahead Dollar roars back, recoups Fed losses The US dollar staged a remarkable comeback on Thursday, advancing against a basket of six major currencies to recoup all the losses it recorded following the Fed meeting, even without any positive US catalyst or news. What is particularly striking, is that [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar reels as Fed abandons hikes; BoE decides

Posted on March 21, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

Fed ‘dot plot’ shows no hikes in 2019, dollar crumbles Sterling dives as May requests short extension; BoE meeting and EU summit today SNB remains on hold, reiterates readiness to intervene in FX market Dollar plunges as Fed abandons rate hike plans – easing bets grow The Fed meeting wasn’t short of surprises. There was no change in policy, as expected, but the officials revised down their rate projections in the famous ‘dot plot’ quite significantly, to the point that [..]

European Open Preview – Long Brexit extension looms; dollar retreats as Fed casts shadow

Posted on March 19, 2019 at 8:48 am GMT

Pound drops as Brexit angst deepens, but prospect of long extension offers ray of hope Growing Fed rate cut expectations support risky assets, weigh on dollar Crude oil continues to march higher UK House speaker vetoes third Brexit vote – long extension in scope UK politics made headlines yet again on Monday after the Speaker of the House of Commons, John Bercow, ruled out allowing the government to bring its Brexit deal to Parliament for a third time unless it [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar softens as Fed meeting looms; stocks climb

Posted on March 18, 2019 at 9:11 am GMT

US stocks rally to six-month highs but perhaps on option expiries – implying some cause for caution Dollar retreats in a quiet session; looks to Fed meeting on Wednesday Sterling catches its breath ahead of potentially decisive week US equities cruise to six-month highs on ‘quad witching’ In an otherwise quiet session, US stock markets rallied on Friday, with the benchmark S&P 500 (+0.50%) index breaking above a critical resistance zone around 2,820 that capped several rallies in recent months, [..]

European Open Preview – Draghi torpedoes euro; US payrolls coming up

Posted on March 8, 2019 at 8:42 am GMT

US nonfarm payrolls report dominates the agenda today ECB pushes back rate hike timing, announces new loans; euro crumbles Stocks continue to retreat, yen advances as China’s trade data disappoint Nonfarm payrolls in the limelight The spotlight today will be on the US employment report for February. Forecasts are quite optimistic across the board. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are expected to have risen by 180k, less than January’s astonishing 304k but still a strong number overall. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated [..]

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