All Articles Tagged - crude oil

Daily Market Comment – US payrolls could decide how deep Fed cuts in July

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

US employment data today will be crucial for Fed rate-cut expectations and the dollar Canadian jobs figures also due, as loonie touches new 2019 high In Europe, bond markets continue to price in QE, but euro snoozes US payrolls may dictate how deep Fed cuts in July and dollar’s path After a relatively quiet session on Thursday, the spotlight will fall on the US employment data today. Markets are still pricing in a ~25% probability for a ‘double’ rate cut [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks sail into uncharted waters; loonie shines

Posted on July 4, 2019 at 7:47 am GMT

American equities soar to record highs, as ‘bad news is good news’ again Loonie advances to best levels this year on Fed-BoC policy divergence Trump calls for weaker dollar, but dollar yawns US stocks hit new records American equity markets sailed into uncharted waters yesterday, with all the major indices – the S&P 500 (+0.77%), Dow Jones (+0.67%), and Nasdaq Composite (+0.74%) – closing at new record highs. In a classic case of ‘bad news is good news for stocks’, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Lagarde to succeed Draghi at ECB; US data eyed

Posted on July 3, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Lagarde to take over ECB after Draghi; markets bet on more QE BoE’s Carney strikes dovish tone, drags pound down Oil retreats as traders ‘sell fact’ after OPEC US ADP jobs and ISM non-manufacturing to drive dollar today IMF’s Lagarde chosen as next ECB chief In an otherwise quiet session on Tuesday, the biggest piece of news was that EU leaders finally reached a consensus on who to nominate for the Union’s top jobs. German defense minister Ursula von der [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBA cuts, but aussie won’t stay down; dollar recovers

Posted on July 2, 2019 at 7:57 am GMT

RBA reduces rates again, but aussie remains unfazed Dollar recovers as July rate-cut bets are scaled back EU leaders resume talks over top jobs; Global PMIs due RBA cuts, but can’t keep the aussie down The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) slashed interest rates earlier today, for the second time in two meetings, indicating that the move will help reduce unemployment and boost inflation. The cut was widely signaled in advance and largely priced in ahead of the event, so [..]

As the OPEC meeting concludes, what’s next for oil? – Commodity News

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 3:49 pm GMT

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is meeting in Vienna, and the latest headlines suggest a nine-month extension of the existing production cuts is nearly certain. With OPEC’s output plans now clear, oil prices will take their cue from how the US-China trade talks and the situation with Iran unfold. Trade optimism may keep crude supported for now, with the risk of a corrective pullback increasing drastically if the talks show no real signs of progress later in the [..]

Daily Market Comment – US and China agree to ceasefire, stocks & dollar cheer

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 8:21 am GMT

Trade ceasefire propels stocks and dollar higher, sends safe havens lower Oil rejoices on trade truce and OPEC agreement ISM manufacturing PMI today may be crucial for Fed expectations Risk sentiment lifted as Trump & Xi decide to restart trade talks The pivotal meeting between the American and Chinese leaders concluded with the two sides agreeing to restart trade negotiations and hold off on imposing any new tariffs ‘for the time being’. What stood out was that the US also [..]

Week ahead – Trump finally meets Xi; RBA and OPEC decide ahead of US payrolls

Posted on June 28, 2019 at 12:09 pm GMT

It’s another action-packed week, with the pivotal G20 summit that will decide how risk sentiment develops, finally upon us. Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to slash rates again, while oil traders will pay close attention to the OPEC meeting. Economic data are not in short supply either, with the US employment report likely to add the final touches to expectations around how deep the Fed will cut in July. Trump-Xi meeting at G20 paramount for risk [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks soar to new records after Fed; oil gains

Posted on June 21, 2019 at 7:49 am GMT

US stocks soar to new all-time highs after Fed European PMIs give the euro a helping hand UK leadership contest reaches final two – sterling outlook neutral Oil advances as supply concerns heighten, demand picture brightens Fed’s dovish signals propel US stocks to new records Stock markets have been among the main beneficiaries after the Fed laid the groundwork for near-term rate cuts, with the benchmark S&P 500 (+0.95%) index closing at a fresh record high yesterday. Falling interest rates [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed meets; will Chair Powell be dovish enough?

Posted on June 19, 2019 at 7:53 am GMT

All eyes on Fed – Powell may have trouble satisfying the bears Euro cruises lower as Draghi signals more stimulus Stocks roar higher as Trump-Xi agree to meet at G20 UK & Canadian inflation data coming up Fed meeting: Dovish, but enough to appease the market? The main event today will be the Fed policy decision at 18:00 GMT, followed by a press conference from Chairman Powell half an hour later. A more dovish tone seems almost certain in light [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar roars higher; Wall Street stabilizes, for now

Posted on May 30, 2019 at 7:43 am GMT

Dollar remains king as major peers continue to lack appeal Stocks calm down after drop, but perhaps only temporarily BoC stands pat, loonie drops as officials keep a lid on optimism Dollar reigns over FX market, nears 2-year highs The world’s reserve currency remains the undisputed king of the FX market, as investors continue to favor dollar-denominated assets amidst worries that the conflict between Washington and Beijing is slowly morphing into a new cold war. The greenback outperformed even the [..]

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