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Daily Market Comment – Symbolic trade deal lifts sentiment; sterling cools

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

US and China reach ‘mini’ trade deal, but markets remain skeptical Pound pulls back as DUP signals it might not support Boris’s deal Loonie soars after Canadian jobs data beat estimates Trade truce lifts stocks, sends yen lower Global risk appetite got a boost on Friday, with stocks edging higher while safe havens like the Japanese yen surrendered ground, after the world’s two largest economies reached a truce in their fiery trade battle. This ‘limited’ trade agreement will see China [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks crash as recession fears intensify

Posted on October 3, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

Investors back on recession watch; all eyes on the ISM non-manufacturing PMI today Speculation for Fed rate cuts no longer supports stocks – paradigm shift? Sterling yawns as markets say Brexit proposal is not a needle-mover Equities dive, yen roars back as investors grapple with recession worries Wall Street recorded substantial losses on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 (-1.8%) falling sharply and Asian markets being a sea of red today, as traders continued to cut their risk exposure amid worries [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar soars as impeachment worries fade, trade optimism returns

Posted on September 26, 2019 at 8:04 am GMT

Renewed trade optimism and fading impeachment concerns lift dollar & stocks One of the biggest ECB hawks resigns; Draghi speaks today RBNZ Governor plays down prospect of QE, lifts kiwi Dollar and equities shoot up as Trump says a trade deal may be close Global risk sentiment improved drastically on Wednesday, as a combination of optimistic trade remarks and diminishing fears of a US presidential impeachment saw investors rotate back into riskier assets. The market’s mood started to improve after [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro reels after dismal PMIs, but don’t panic yet

Posted on September 23, 2019 at 8:18 am GMT

Euro drops after German PMIs suggest recession ahead – but there may be good news there too Trump’s trade remarks dampen risk appetite Oil prices jump on reports that Saudi output may be offline for longer Euro reels as preliminary PMIs paint a gloomier picture The single currency is on the back foot early on Monday, following the release of the preliminary French and German PMIs for September, which signaled that more pain lies ahead for the European economy. All [..]

Week ahead – RBNZ meets, but geopolitics may steal the show

Posted on September 20, 2019 at 12:43 pm GMT

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will be the sole major central bank that meets next week, but there’s a flood of economic data to keep traders busy – most importantly the euro area’s preliminary PMIs due on Monday. Beyond these, markets will also keep a close eye on the geopolitical arena as tensions in the Middle East continue to boil, and any serious escalation threatens to impact not only oil prices but global risk appetite too. European PMIs [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meeting front and center as trade worries ease

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 8:11 am GMT

ECB decision today – euro reaction to hinge on size of stimulus package Trade fears recede after US and China extend olive branches – stocks soar Oil prices dive as Trump considers easing Iran sanctions ECB meeting: Is ‘Super Mario’ coming with a bazooka or a toy gun? The much-anticipated ECB meeting concludes today at 11:45 GMT, and a press conference by President Mario Draghi will follow at 12:30 GMT. Policymakers are widely expected to deliver a blend of stimulus [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen in distress amid trade optimism and BoJ easing talk

Posted on September 11, 2019 at 8:10 am GMT

Trade optimism remains the dominant theme, keeping FX market in a risk-on mood Yen underperforms on speculation of BoJ easing next week Oil retreats after Trump fires hawkish national security advisor Bolton Markets stay in a risk-on mood as trade optimism lingers The FX market continues to dance to a ‘risk-on’ tune, with moves in recent days being characterized by haven currencies such as the yen retreating, while trade-sensitive currencies like the aussie and the kiwi recover lost ground. Investors [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound sinks as Boris plays ultimate game of chicken

Posted on August 29, 2019 at 8:29 am GMT

Pound drops after PM Johnson suspends Parliament Risk appetite improves as China hints September trade talks may go ahead German inflation data and US second GDP reading on the radar today Sterling dives as Boris sets course towards a no-deal Brexit In a dramatic turn of events, UK Prime Minister Johnson announced yesterday he will prorogue Parliament, meaning that British lawmakers will not be able to debate or vote on anything between September 12 – October 14. The move is [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street retreats on recession fears; oil soars

Posted on August 28, 2019 at 8:25 am GMT

Yen and gold advance, stocks retreat as recession worries intensify Pound recovers as no-deal Brexit risk recedes, but outlook still negative Oil jumps after massive inventory drawdown – official EIA figures due today Wall Street retreats as recession fears deepen A mild risk-off tone swept through global markets on Tuesday, with American stocks closing modestly in the red and the defensive Japanese yen outperforming most of its major peers. Likewise, gold prices logged some gains, as the commodity currencies – [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar and stocks rally in relief after tariff delays

Posted on August 14, 2019 at 7:54 am GMT

US tariff exemptions lift risk sentiment – stocks soar, yen retreats     But optimism tempered by weak Chinese data overnight UK inflation data and Eurozone GDP coming up Trump’s tariffs delay revives risk appetite, but is this a game changer? Global risk sentiment came roaring back on Tuesday, with US stock markets closing 1.5% higher and WTI oil gaining 4%, after the Trump administration said it will delay tariffs on several Chinese products until December and exempt some goods altogether. [..]

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