All Articles Tagged - crude oil

Daily Market Comment – US employment data to dictate mood; OPEC can’t lift oil

Posted on December 6, 2019 at 9:08 am GMT

Spotlight falls on the US jobs report today; risks around dollar asymmetric Is European fiscal stimulus not a pipe dream after all? OPEC pledges deeper production cuts, but oil doesn’t ‘buy it’ In Britain, Boris Johnson debates Jeremy Corbyn for the final time Nonfarm payrolls: Mind the asymmetry The main event today will be the US employment report for November, due at 13:30 GMT. Forecasts point to another solid data set, with nonfarm payrolls (NFP) expected to clock in at [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets climb on hopes Trump is bluffing; pound soars

Posted on December 5, 2019 at 9:33 am GMT

Risk appetite returns on reports suggesting Trump was just posturing on trade Pound surges as election polls show Tories consolidating their lead Loonie climbs on less-dovish BoC signals, looks to OPEC meeting Optimistic trade headlines breathe life back into riskier assets US stock markets snapped a three-day losing spell on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.63% on the back of a report claiming that American and Chinese negotiators are “moving closer” to agreeing the amount of tariffs that would [..]

Daily Market Comment – All quiet on the currency front, but key data could spice things up

Posted on November 29, 2019 at 9:24 am GMT

Currencies trade in narrow ranges without news – pound retreats a little Euro area inflation data today may disappoint, spelling more pain for euro Is OPEC ‘managing’ market expectations ahead of next week’s meeting? British pound the sole mover in quiet markets It was a very uneventful session across financial markets, with little to speak of in terms of news and with most currencies trading in awfully tight ranges as American traders stayed home for Thanksgiving. A notable exception [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump keeps the trade hype train rolling, stocks levitate

Posted on November 27, 2019 at 9:22 am GMT

Equities power ahead on more trade optimism, but FX and bond markets remain skeptical In Britain, a crucial model-based poll may reveal how close the election will be Packed calendar today, with an avalanche of US data coming up US stocks ascend to new heights as Trump hypes trade deal The hype train that has pushed Wall Street to new records time and time again just keeps on rolling, with all three of the major US stock indices ascending to [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ catapults kiwi higher; Trump decides on EU tariffs

Posted on November 13, 2019 at 9:17 am GMT

Kiwi outperforms as RBNZ surprisingly refrains from cutting rates Markets in a slight risk-off mood as trade doubts reemerge Today: Trump decides on EU tariffs, Fed chief Powell testifies, and US CPI data RBNZ surprisingly keeps rates unchanged, propels kiwi higher To the surprise of many, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy rate unchanged overnight, confounding forecasts and market expectations, as a rate cut was priced in with an ~80% probability. Even though policymakers kept the [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBNZ to slash rates; more blues for the kiwi?

Posted on November 12, 2019 at 9:10 am GMT

Kiwi underperforms as investors bet that RBNZ will cut rates overnight Pound rejoices as Brexit party warms up to Tories, but risks seem tilted to the downside UK jobs data, Germany’s ZEW survey, and Fed-speak today RBNZ set to cut rates after inflation expectations drop The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will announce its rate decision early on Wednesday, at 01:00 GMT. A rate cut seems quite likely, after a survey released overnight showed that the nation’s 2-year inflation [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks cruise to new records, but Hong Kong weighs

Posted on November 11, 2019 at 9:25 am GMT

Risk aversion strikes back as Hong Kong protests intensify and trade doubts resurface Dollar advances without new catalysts, loonie stumbles on weak data UK GDP numbers due, but sterling keeps its sights on election polls Hong Kong jitters send global equities back down, lift yen US stock markets levitated to new records on Friday, undeterred by some remarks from President Trump that he hasn’t decided yet whether he is willing to roll back tariffs on China to get the ‘phase [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar braces for nonfarm payrolls; risk aversion returns

Posted on November 1, 2019 at 9:09 am GMT

US payrolls and ISM index could shape the dollar’s fortunes today Risk appetite dampened by reports China won’t compromise on ‘real’ trade issues Can US payrolls keep the besieged dollar from stumbling further? The spotlight today will fall on the US employment report for October, as investors scramble to figure out whether the Fed can truly afford to ‘pause’ its rate-cutting cycle, or whether that is merely wishful thinking. Likewise, the ISM manufacturing PMI for the same month will reveal [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed, BoC, and BoJ decisions; UK election confirmed

Posted on October 30, 2019 at 9:18 am GMT

Fed to slash rates today but may signal a pause after this cut, lifting the dollar BoC set to stand pat, unlikely to alter its neutral stance BoJ decides early on Thursday – close call whether it will cut UK General Election officially called for December 12 Fed virtually certain to cut rates, but will it also signal a pause? It’s an extremely busy day, with the main event being the Federal Reserve policy decision at 18:00 GMT, which will [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling jumps on Brexit hopes; Trump sanctions Turkey

Posted on October 15, 2019 at 8:23 am GMT

Pound shoots up on hopes for a Brexit deal this week Brexit optimism lifts stock markets too, but trade concerns linger Trump hits Turkey with tariffs and sanctions, yet lira climbs Barnier says Brexit deal still possible this week, pound charges higher The Brexit saga remains the dominant theme in the FX market. Investors are holding their breath to see whether a deal will be reached, after the negotiations intensified in recent days. This morning, chief EU negotiator Barnier said [..]

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