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Technical Analysis – WTI futures may have more weakness in store in short term

Posted on January 22, 2020 at 1:19 pm GMT

WTI crude oil futures with delivery in March, are declining below the three-month ascending trend line, creating a bearish-to-neutral view. Momentum indicators are pointing to a negative bias in the short term with the RSI just below 50 and the stochastic oscillator is heading towards the bearish territory. The MACD oscillator is strengthening its downward movement below the trigger and zero line. In addition, the 40-day simple moving average (SMA) is pointing down and approaching the 20-SMA for a possible [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar grinds higher, Wall Street hits new records

Posted on January 20, 2020 at 9:32 am GMT

Greenback outperforms as incoming data reaffirm strength of US economy Pound crumbles after soft retail sales enhance case for a BoE rate cut next week Bank of Japan rate decision coming up; supply disruptions boost oil Solid US data lift dollar, catapult US stocks to fresh records The dollar was the star performer in the FX market on Friday, advancing across the board after the latest batch of US data beat forecasts, feeding the narrative that the American economy continues [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks carve out new highs ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 9:16 am GMT

Wall Street hits new records and US jobs data today may add fuel to the rally Canada’s employment figures also due – asymmetric risk for loonie? Pound drops on dovish BoE comments and may still have some way to go Nonfarm payrolls: More fuel for stocks? The main event today will be the US employment report for December. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are forecast to clock in at 164k, less than the astounding 266k in November, but still a solid number [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil crashes, stocks roar higher as geopolitical nerves calm

Posted on January 9, 2020 at 9:35 am GMT

Yen and gold slump, equities jump as US-Iran tensions take a back seat Dollar outperforms amid fading Fed rate-cut expectations – lots of Fed speakers today In Canada, BoC Governor Poloz delivers remarks and might strike a dovish tone Oil collapses alongside safe havens as worries of US-Iran war fade Global markets continued to price out the risk of an imminent all-out war between the US and Iran yesterday, amid signs that neither side is seeking further escalation. The fact [..]

Daily Market Comment – Iran attacks US bases, but risk aversion doesn’t last

Posted on January 8, 2020 at 9:16 am GMT

Safe havens spike higher, stocks drop as Iran hits US bases in Iraq Yet, risk aversion fades as both sides show little appetite for more escalation Meanwhile, dollar advances on healthy US data, aussie burned by wildfires Oil and gold jump, stock futures briefly dip after Iran strikes back Tehran didn’t take long to retaliate against the US assassination of its most powerful general, as overnight Iran attacked with ballistic missiles two military bases in Iraq that are hosting American [..]

Daily Market Comment – Geopolitical fears ease, but risk sentiment remains fragile

Posted on January 7, 2020 at 9:29 am GMT

Safe havens pull back, stocks recover as some geopolitical risk is priced out Alas, it might be only a matter of time before Middle East fears resurface – how will Iran retaliate? In economics, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI today may prove crucial for the dollar Yen retreats, stocks rebound as Middle East worries ease – for now Global risk appetite improved on Monday, with defensive currencies such as the Japanese yen surrendering some recent gains while US stocks recovered lost [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Gold and stocks march higher as dollar bleeds

Posted on December 27, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

US equities reach new peaks, but dollar can’t stay afloat Gold shines even brighter heading into year-end Aussie and kiwi make a comeback, both scale 5-month peaks Stocks push even higher as Amazon soars, dollar retreats Financial markets remain in a holiday mood, with moves in the FX spectrum being somewhat limited in magnitude in an environment of thin liquidity and without any noteworthy news to drive the price action. The underlying theme is still an increased appetite for riskier [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed meets, new ‘dot plot’ could lift dollar

Posted on December 11, 2019 at 9:02 am GMT

Fed to stay on hold today; dollar may get a mild boost if ‘dots’ show no cuts in 2020 Sterling retreats as model-based poll saps hopes for a Tory majority Risk aversion fades after reports Washington may postpone upcoming tariffs Fed on hold, all eyes on the new ‘dots’ The spotlight will fall on the Federal Reserve today, which will conclude its policy meeting at 19:00 GMT. After slashing rates at the last three meetings, policymakers are now expected to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Currencies take a breather ahead of risk events, stocks retreat

Posted on December 10, 2019 at 9:22 am GMT

FX market stays quiet as news flow dries up and traders await Fed decision tomorrow Pound perks up as Tories maintain poll lead; Yougov model today at 22:00 GMT may be critical Currencies snooze, equities retreat as investors position for risk events   It was a very quiet session for financial markets, with most major currency pairs trading in tight ranges and ending little changed overall, without any major news to drive the price action. Stocks inched lower, with the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar jumps on solid NFP; markets brace for huge week

Posted on December 9, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

Greenback and stocks cheer after blockbuster jobs report, but yen tells a different story Loonie nosedives on weak employment data, despite higher oil prices Calendar is low key today, but week is packed: Fed, ECB, UK election, tariff decision Dollar shoots higher as nonfarm payrolls smash expectations It was all about the US employment data on Friday, which easily beat forecasts. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 266k, much higher than the expected 180k, with last month’s print also revised up. [..]

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