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Daily Market Comment – Markets lose altitude as virus fears escalate

Posted on June 25, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

Reality bites stock markets as US virus spike accelerates, dollar recovers Threats of new US tariffs against EU and dire IMF forecasts not helping mood Fed balance sheet reduction may be playing a role too Daily virus numbers will continue to dictate sentiment Acceleration in infections hampers recovery prospects Risk aversion gripped global markets once again on Wednesday after several American states reported another worrisome spike in virus cases and hospitalizations, pouring cold water on the cheerful narrative of a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Nasdaq charges higher, pound feels heat of negative rates

Posted on May 21, 2020 at 8:23 am GMT

Stocks defy economic gravity; Nasdaq closes in on record highs But markets more cautious Thursday, after Trump’s twitter storm vs China Pound rebound falters as BoE Governor doesn’t rule out negative rates Dollar finds its footing ahead of speeches by Fed’s top echelon Nasdaq approaches all-time high, but futures retreat Close your eyes and you wouldn’t know we are in the middle of a deep recession. At least not by looking at the Nasdaq 100 (+2%), which closed less than [..]

Daily Market Comment – Vaccine hopes power markets higher, can Powell add more fuel?

Posted on May 19, 2020 at 8:28 am GMT

Vaccine headlines, Fed stimulus bets, and EU recovery package propel stocks higher Yen, dollar, and franc suffer as euro and commodity currencies cheer Fed chief testifies before US Senate today (14:00 GMT), can he keep the ‘party’ going? Perfect storm for stocks Risk appetite returned with a vengeance to global markets on Monday, with the S&P 500 (+3.15%) having its best day in weeks amid a perfect storm of news around a virus vaccine, more Fed stimulus, and a European [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks and gold climb as Fed hopes overpower trade fears

Posted on May 18, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

US equities set to open higher, gold soars after Fed chief’s ‘whatever it takes’ moment But escalating US-China tensions & second wave fears lurking in the background Pound sinks as investors brace for Brexit talks to fall apart Powell turbocharges gold, lifts stocks Global markets are in a good mood on Monday, with commodity currencies recovering and Wall Street set for a ~1.5% higher open, following a ‘whatever it takes’ moment from Fed Chairman Powell. In remarks published over the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen smiles as stocks struggle for direction

Posted on May 7, 2020 at 8:48 am GMT

Yen and dollar shine amid dire US and EU data, trade tensions, bankruptcy fears Stocks close lower, but solid Chinese trade numbers lift futures and aussie Pound perks up after BoE keeps stimulus powder dry, but risks linger US jobless claims on the menu today; can equities continue to defy gravity? Yen and dollar stand tall as traders weigh risks Stock markets have been partying like central bankers invented a virus vaccine in recent weeks, but some realism may be [..]

Daily Market Comment – German ultimatum sinks euro, yen capitalizes

Posted on May 6, 2020 at 8:29 am GMT

Euro crumbles after German courts challenge ECB stimulus Outlook still bleak, this is the last thing the fragile Eurozone needs Stocks trim gains on Fed gloom and Congressional ‘pause’, yen climbs Today: ADP data will give a taste of what’s on Friday’s NFP menu Euro falls apart as Germany challenges ECB The single currency came under heavy fire yesterday, after Germany’s top court ruled that the ECB’s asset purchases were unconstitutional. The judges gave the European Central Bank three months [..]

Daily Market Comment – Wall Street snaps back, but FX not convinced

Posted on May 5, 2020 at 8:48 am GMT

US stocks bounce back on medical headlines, rising oil prices, tech strength But FX market signals caution – yen and dollar hold strong, gold too Are investors piling into tech because of re-opening fears and US-China tensions? Euro suffers after German court decision on ECB asset purchases Stock markets storm higher Wall Street continues to defy economic gravity, with all three major US stock indices recouping early losses on Monday to close higher, brushing aside the simmering tensions between Washington [..]

Daily Market Comment – Specter of trade war returns to haunt stocks

Posted on May 4, 2020 at 8:39 am GMT

US stocks drop on Amazon earnings, fall further as US-China tensions flare up Finally discounting the long-term impact on consumption, psychology, and (de)globalization? Yen and dollar shine as risk aversion returns, aussie and kiwi suffer US-China tensions reintroduce stocks to gravity The stimulus-fueled bear rally in global stocks seems to be running on fumes, with optimism evaporating after some distressing remarks by Amazon cast doubt on the sustainability of this heavily concentrated market, and the US-China trade war came back [..]

Oil drowns in a flood of supply, no lifejacket for now – Special Report

Posted on April 24, 2020 at 12:37 pm GMT

Oil prices traded negative for the first time ever this week, as physical space to store the liquid has almost run out amidst an oversupply of epic proportions. In the near term, there’s little that can save oil prices, and we might even see a repeat of the oil-crash movie in mid-May as storage space runs out entirely. That said, if and when storage room runs out, that could also be the point of ‘peak oversupply’ and perhaps the bottom [..]

Daily Market Comment – Drug disappointment burns stocks; Euro crumbles

Posted on April 24, 2020 at 8:34 am GMT

Equities turn red after would-be miracle drug Remdesivir fails clinical trial Euro dives as EU drags feet on recovery fund, disagrees on debt sharing Yen pares gains on reports BoJ will ramp up stimulus next week Oil extends bounce, but rebound likely fragile  Virus-drug disappointment bites stocks A rally in global stock markets faltered yesterday, with the S&P 500 giving up early gains to close practically flat and futures pointing to more pain on Wall Street today, following headlines that [..]

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