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Daily Market Comment – US inflation and Powell speech could spice things up

Posted on February 10, 2021 at 9:23 am GMT

Dollar remains under pressure, stocks hover near records in a quiet session Markets still driving in risk-on gear as stimulus hopes grow stronger But US inflation data and Powell’s remarks could spark volatility today Risk-taking still the dominant force It was a quiet session in global markets, without any real news to drive the action. The same old stimulus stories continued to circulate, encouraging investors to take on more risk. The overarching theme lately is that the Democrats will push [..]

Daily Market Comment – Nonfarm payrolls give dollar a black eye, but stocks roar

Posted on February 8, 2021 at 9:35 am GMT

Disappointing US jobs report knocks dollar down Yet, bad economic news is good news for stimulus and stocks Concerning vaccine headlines go unnoticed, inflation on the radar Softer labor market strengthens case for tremendous relief The US employment report fell short of expectations, feeding the narrative that the recovery in the world’s largest economy is starting to plateau. Nonfarm payrolls clocked in at 49k in January, almost in line with the forecast, but clearly some investors were expecting more as [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stock market rebound fizzles out, but FX remains calm

Posted on January 29, 2021 at 9:26 am GMT

Wall Street set to open in the red, erasing latest rebound Overall, nothing has changed, so risk aversion could fade soon Yen crumbles after BoJ signals, but broader FX market relatively calm Fear grips Wall Street again What a crazy week. An assault by small investors weaponizing call options against hedge fund short positions sparked all kinds of volatility and some legendary short squeezes in smaller stocks. The ripple effects were felt across markets as some funds were apparently massacred [..]

Daily Market Comment – Global markets in a cheerful mood, but risks abound

Posted on January 25, 2021 at 9:45 am GMT

Wall Street set for new record highs as California lifts stay-at-home order Dollar stable as traders look to Fed meeting, sterling near recent peaks But geopolitics, virus mutations, and stimulus talks threaten a reality check Stocks sail higher as investors focus on the positives American equity markets continue to trade like a runaway train, setting the tone for most other assets. Expectations for a massive spending package from Congress are riding high, and with the Fed chief recently reaffirming that [..]

Daily Market Comment – Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan sparks profit-taking

Posted on January 15, 2021 at 9:28 am GMT

Stock markets drift lower as Biden’s relief plan raises execution questions Dollar undecided, caught between mild risk aversion and dovish Powell Euro starts pricing in the risks, sterling smiles as UK vaccinations accelerate Today: US retail sales, big bank earnings, and German leadership contest Markets worry Biden’s proposal will be watered down The US President-elect unveiled his new stimulus package to reawaken the American economy, which would cost $1.9 trillion. It includes direct payments of $1400, aid for state and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro ignores Merkel’s warning of prolonged German lockdown

Posted on January 13, 2021 at 9:19 am GMT

Dollar retreats after Fed officials play down prospect of QE tapering Euro capitalizes on dollar’s woes, even as Merkel warns of extended lockdown Stock markets quiet, but crude oil continues impressive bull run US inflation data and Fed speakers today could set the tone Dollar retreats as Fed’s George plays down tapering The world’s reserve currency came back under selling pressure on Tuesday as Fed officials poured cold water on speculation around a withdrawal of their massive liquidity programs. The [..]

Daily Market Comment – Biden floats new stimulus bill, US jobs report coming up

Posted on January 8, 2021 at 9:30 am GMT

Equity party continues to rage amid whispers of $3 trillion infrastructure bill Yen and gold suffer as global bond yields climb Dollar extends rebound ahead of nonfarm payrolls – an asymmetric event? Stock market freight train keeps on rolling Global markets remain in an ecstatic mood, with US equities powering to new record highs and defensive plays falling apart, as expectations for gargantuan stimulus packages in America continue to be baked in. The Democrats taking full control of Congress has [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Dollar can’t get off the floor as focus turns to Georgia

Posted on December 30, 2020 at 9:40 am GMT

Dollar hits fresh lows, stocks near record highs despite US Senate blocking $2000 checks Thin liquidity, or markets calculating what this implies for Georgia runoffs? Elsewhere, most assets are in a cheerful mood, but quiet overall 2020 was all about the stimulus game With the Brexit crusade out of the way, the US stimulus deal wrapped up, and the global vaccine rollout well underway, financial markets are about to end an incredibly chaotic year on a surprisingly optimistic note. The [..]

Daily Market Comment – Market panic vanishes amid signs of Brexit progress

Posted on December 22, 2020 at 9:33 am GMT

Sharp selloff turns into sharp rebound as UK waters down fishery demands US stocks and sterling stage epic comeback, close only a blip lower Similar story for the dollar, surrenders most virus-mutation gains Vaccines and liquidity are still the name of the game What selloff? US equities and sterling roar back Just when you think US stocks can bleed, dip-buyers return with a vengeance. The week kicked off with a substantial correction, the S&P 500 falling almost 2% amid worries [..]

Daily Market Comment – New virus strain hits equities, sinks sterling, boosts gold

Posted on December 21, 2020 at 9:45 am GMT

Stocks retreat, sterling tanks as new virus strain spreading in UK wreaks havoc US Congress reaches stimulus deal, but news unable to counter the gloom Dollar and gold capitalize on the nerves, crude oil and commodity FX hit hard Bleeding may continue as traders lock profits, but bigger picture unchanged Sterling tanks as health crisis compounds Brexit crisis A new strain of covid-19 that is far more infectious is spreading like wildfire across the UK, forcing local authorities to ‘cancel [..]

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