All Articles Tagged - crude oil

US Open Note – Yen and oil surge as futures are steady

Posted on September 15, 2021 at 1:00 pm GMT

US inflation mildly affects dollar US inflation had a mild negative influence on the dollar, but yesterday’s fragile risk sentiment gave it a boost. This suggests that markets believe the Fed will delay tapering next week, which might lead to a range bound environment until the end of the week. In addition, China’s efforts to rein in private enterprises and the impact of the delta virus strain on economic development are among them. The US dollar index is heading south around the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar grinds higher, Wall Street loses altitude

Posted on September 13, 2021 at 8:37 am GMT

Dollar capitalizes on rare selloff in US equity markets Chinese and Japanese stocks go their separate ways Crucial US data and election polls to drive markets this week Autumn blues for Wall Street? The relentless rally in US stock markets took a breather last week. Wall Street suffered a rare pullback as investors took some profits off the table, positioning for a new regime of fading central bank liquidity, moderating growth, and higher taxes. Sure, the selloff was pretty shallow [..]

US Open Note – Markets calm down ahead of Jackson Hole

Posted on August 25, 2021 at 12:53 pm GMT

FOMC meeting and Jackson Hole attract attention There have been several confusing messages leading up to the summit (27 August). The Fed’s vice chair, Clarida, hinted at an early taper when he stated that rates could rise as early as 2022. In the US, the number of covid cases and deaths is on the rise. Especially after Kaplan’s comments on Friday, investors are increasingly focused on this factor in the run-up to the FOMC. This Thursday, the Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole Symposium gets underway, and it [..]

US Open Note – Riskier currencies plummet amid dollar strength

Posted on August 19, 2021 at 12:57 pm GMT

FOMC minutes drive dollar up Following the minutes from the latest FOMC meeting, the dollar index rose to 93.4 on Thursday, the highest closing level since November 2020. Numerous market participants now believe that the Fed will disclose a tapering timeline at the Jackson Hole Symposium next week. There will be less cash poured into the system if asset purchases are reduced. US stocks slid and are headed for a negative open today, while dollar/yen is heading south around 109.60. [..]

US Open Note – FOMC minutes next on the radar; greenback steady

Posted on August 18, 2021 at 1:13 pm GMT

Dollar awaits FOMC minutes for notable move The major highlight of the day is expected to be the FOMC minutes announcement. In the run up to the Jackson Hole Symposium next week, the minutes from the July 27-28 meeting will be of considerable interest. Investors are anticipating to see a highly hawkish tone in the minutes. A hawkish change is likely to occur in the September Dot Plots, with median launch expectations for a rate hike moving to 2022. The [..]

US Open Note – US retail sales released with minor impact on dollar; kiwi tumbles

Posted on August 17, 2021 at 1:06 pm GMT

US retail sales miss is mild hit to dollar The recovery in the US dollar after Friday’s sell-off is continuing today, with only a minor market reaction after the retail sales release. Retail sales in the US rose by 1.1% m/m in July versus -0.3% that was the forecast and from an upwardly revised 0.7% in the previous month. The US dollar index is up two days in a row and has nearly retraced half of its previous day’s loss. Dollar/yen is recouping some of the losses of the previous days, trading above 109.00. US [..]

US Open Note – Yen surges due to risk-off factors; oil plunges

Posted on August 16, 2021 at 12:44 pm GMT

Dollar marginally up; Stocks ease The market is beginning the week on a cautious note. The US dollar index is ticking marginally up after a strong negative session, while US futures are suggesting a negative open after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones completed new record highs on Friday. Euro/dollar failed to surpass the 1.1800 psychological level on Friday and is moving lower, while pound/dollar is hovering around 1.3870. Yen shines; commodity currencies fall The yen has risen sharply because of several risk-off factors, all [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar takes some damage after soft data, gold smiles

Posted on August 16, 2021 at 8:19 am GMT

US dollar retreats after soft consumer sentiment survey Chinese data disappoints too, hitting risk sentiment in Asia Gold comes back to life, oil ignores Afghanistan tensions Dollar grapples with consumer uncertainty Currency markets closed with a bang last week after an American survey showed consumer sentiment cratering in August to reach its lowest level in a decade. The stunning loss in consumer confidence raised questions about the economy’s fortunes, and consequently about whether the Fed will be able to take [..]

US Open Note – Dollar is marginally down; euro shines

Posted on August 13, 2021 at 12:32 pm GMT

Dollar eases before Fed releases minutes next week The dollar is dropping from four-month highs as traders are waiting next week for more clues about the Federal Reserve plans for how and when it will unravel its massive stimulus program. After scaling a high of 93.13 earlier in the week, the dollar index has been lingering around 92.95 since Wednesday, when it was driven down by CPI data. Dollar/yen is creating the third consecutive red day after the climb to 110.80. The euro rebounded against the greenback even after yesterday’s [..]

US Open Note – Dollar pulls back after US CPI data release

Posted on August 11, 2021 at 1:04 pm GMT

US CPI data drives dollar lower All eyes were on the US CPI data release today. The US consumer price inflation rate remained at 5.4% in July, the same as the previous 13-year high and marginally above market predictions of 5.3%, mirroring the low base effect caused by the coronavirus crisis. There were not any surprises for the market; however, the dollar slipped from the five-week high of 110.80 versus the yen that was printed earlier today. The dollar index [..]

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