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AUDUSD

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US Open Note – Stocks return to Asia opening levels and dollar a tad lower

Posted on August 2, 2021 at 1:39 pm GMT

Market sentiment on back foot ahead of US ISM Manufacturing PMI US major indices have given up their Asian price improvements, as sentiment deteriorates on US infrastructure talks and in advance of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, scheduled for 14:00 GMT today. Friday’s US mixed data may have also played a part, which reflected that consumer sentiment in July declined further from the levels in June with inflation expectations also slowing. Employment pay for Q2 was lower and the Core [..]

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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD remains consolidated; positive momentum feeble

Posted on August 2, 2021 at 12:46 pm GMT

AUDUSD seems to be in a neutral-to-bearish bias, something also reflected in the downward sloping lines of the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The directionless Ichimoku lines and the steadied cloud further reflect this view. That said, the short-term oscillators, although somewhat stalled, still lean towards a positive picture. The MACD, in the negative region, is holding above its red trigger line, while the RSI hovers in bearish territory but is pointing up. In the light of more [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar stabilizes, stocks recover ahead of busy week

Posted on August 2, 2021 at 8:03 am GMT

Dollar trades quietly as traders brace for nonfarm payrolls week Wall Street powers higher, oil takes a hit after soft Chinese PMI ISM manufacturing index and RBA rate decision coming up  Dollar stabilizes as Fed aftershocks fade The world’s reserve currency took a hit last week after the Fed chief reassured investors that rate increases were still far away and that the labor market still hasn’t recovered properly. Markets interpreted Powell’s patient tone as diminishing the chances for a tapering [..]

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US Open Note – Stock indices to claim monthly gains despite jitters; dollar on the backfoot

Posted on July 30, 2021 at 1:18 pm GMT

Stock indices head for a monthly gain The month of July started with the impression that plans of monetary tightening could get more into fashion, adding a solid footing under currencies, while the earnings season could further brighten the outlook for stocks despite the inflaming virus numbers. Although the above backdrop has not entirely faded yet, the last week of the month found investors having second thoughts about how soon the Fed would wrap up its bond tapering plans as [..]

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Weekly Comment – USD loses altitude; can NFP report rekindle summer rally?

Posted on July 30, 2021 at 12:59 pm GMT

USD finally caught up with tumbling real yields in the past week, with the Fed’s stubbornly dovish inclination intensifying the selloff mid-week. However, USD bulls shouldn’t lose hope as the June jobs report is coming up next week, along with more central bank meetings. The highlights: Nonfarm payrolls are due on Friday in the US and could jump by 900k in July. But how much of a boost would this be for the battered USD when the Fed is nowhere [..]

Week Ahead – Nonfarm payrolls highlight a huge week

Posted on July 30, 2021 at 11:37 am GMT

Global markets will go into overdrive next week, with two central bank meetings and a landslide of data coming up. The RBA will probably reverse its tapering plans amid extended lockdowns in Australia, whereas the Bank of England might strike a slightly more optimistic tone. Of course, the main event will be the US jobs report, which will determine how quickly the Fed dials back stimulus. Dollar braces for payrolls Fears that the Federal Reserve might announce a slowdown of [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks falter again, bruised dollar seeks to end losing streak

Posted on July 30, 2021 at 9:07 am GMT

Market mood sours again as China crackdowns, mixed earnings and Delta fears all weigh Dollar halts slide but struggles to regain positive footing after dovish Fed and soft data Pound sets sights on $1.40 as others lag, gold battles to reclaim $1,830/oz Mixed week for stocks as risks mount Regulatory crackdowns in China, ongoing concerns about the Delta variant and warnings of slower earnings growth ahead all came to a head this week when it was meant to be all [..]

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US Open Note – FOMC’s tone knocks the dollar

Posted on July 29, 2021 at 1:57 pm GMT

Markets barely react to US GDP miss as Chairman Powell still on their mind; Eurozone inflation comes in strong The major US indices managed to remain resilient after yesterday’s FOMC comments from Chairman Powell, who signalled that patience is needed as there is still a ways to go before tighter policy. Markets have hardly reacted to the release of US GDP and jobless claims in relation to the expansion of the US economy in the Q2. The US economy grew by 6.5% in the [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD snaps key barrier, but stronger efforts needed

Posted on July 29, 2021 at 6:47 am GMT

AUDUSD opened above the red Tenkan-sen line on Thursday, with scope to finally snap the Ichimoku line, which held the bulls under control since mid-June, and re-challenge the nearby 0.7400 resistance territory. The positive momentum in the RSI is currently endorsing the bullish action above the eight-month low of 0.7288, though some caution is still required as the indicator has yet to create a new higher high, maintaining a sideways trajectory below its 50 neutral level. The upside reversal in [..]

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US Open Note – Stocks muted near highs, dollar firms

Posted on July 28, 2021 at 1:16 pm GMT

Markets prepare for FOMC release Yesterday’s consumer confidence for July ticked only marginally higher from June confirming optimism in the US, however, the dollar index weakened slightly, before stabilizing around the 92.50 level ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Expectations are that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will once again be watchful of his rhetoric towards tapering of asset purchases and the timeline and commencement of such actions. Markets will also be ready to digest any clues from [..]

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