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AUDUSD

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US Open Note – ECB confirms intention to cease bond purchases; US retail sales come out

Posted on April 14, 2022 at 1:05 pm GMT

ECB left interest rates unchanged; euro back near $1.0870 The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged as expected. Policymakers stated that new data confirmed their view that net asset purchases will be completed in the third quarter. During the April 2022 meeting, the central bank also emphasized that any interest rate adjustments will take place sometime after the completion of the asset purchase program and will be gradual in nature. In the meantime, the main interest rates were held [..]

Daily Market Comment – US yields rally cools, dollar slips, stocks bounce back

Posted on April 14, 2022 at 9:07 am GMT

Treasury yields ease back as Fed’s Waller fuels hopes of inflation peaking Dollar skids, Wall Street rallies despite mixed earnings Euro edges up ahead of ECB decision, loonie buoyed by BoC hike Yields retreat, shrug off record rise in US producer prices US Treasury yields are heading lower for the third day on Thursday, with the 10-year yield slipping below 2.70%, as the recent heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike rates very aggressively eased somewhat. A slightly softer-than-expected [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD stuck below 20-SMA; short-term outlook still fragile

Posted on April 14, 2022 at 7:30 am GMT

AUDUSD recouped most of Wednesday’s losses to stay within the 0.7400 zone after stepping on the resistance-turned-support trendline. Despite that, bullish actions were limited as the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) prevented any increases above 0.7480. This line continues to block the way higher so far on Thursday, questioning the upside reversal in the RSI and the Stochastics. The MACD remains negatively charged below its red signal line, feeding some caution as well. As regards the market trend, however, the golden cross between the 50- [..]

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US Open Note – BoC decision in the spotlight; dollar still rises

Posted on April 13, 2022 at 1:05 pm GMT

Dollar holds its bullish tone Officials at the Federal Reserve have not changed their hawkish stance. Governor Brainard commented that the Fed’s top priority is to combat inflation and it will implement a policy of neutrality “expeditiously.” Brainard also stated that Russia’s incursion into Ukraine raises inflation concerns, and if it continues, those concerns will only grow as the supply chain troubles worsen. The governor noted that, with this year’s fiscal impact, financial circumstances are already tightening, which will reduce consumption. The dollar is holding its ground, helped [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar turns lower after CPI data; oil climbs by 4%

Posted on April 12, 2022 at 1:15 pm GMT

US CPI surpasses forecast, rising to 8.5% Interest rates in the United States continue to rise. The 10-year yield traded near a fresh cycle high of 2.83% and is on course to hit the October 2018 high of 3.26%. This has sent the dollar index beyond the 100 mark for the first time in over two years but after the CPI data, it returned near its opening level, while dollar/yen is hovering below the six-and-a-half-year high of 125.76 posted yesterday. The [..]

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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD’s bullish tone under strain ahead of 200 MA

Posted on April 12, 2022 at 10:15 am GMT

AUDUSD has rebounded off the 0.7400 handle, a region being underpinned by the rising 200-period simple moving average (SMA) currently at 0.7388. The easing of the positive slope of the longer-term 100-period SMA, and the rolling over of the 50-period SMA, which is nearing a bearish crossover of the 100-period SMA, are strong signs that a bearish trend may overwhelm the pair. Furthermore, the Ichimoku lines are indicating that downward forces are taking a breather. Meanwhile, the short-term oscillators are [..]

Daily Market Comment – Rising yields start to spook equity markets, dollar crushes rivals

Posted on April 12, 2022 at 9:19 am GMT

Stock market selloff accelerates as investors begin to panic about soaring borrowing costs Dollar climbs to new highs as yen slumps again, eyes US inflation data Oil bounces off lows after China eases Shanghai lockdown, gold attracts some bids Stocks back in the doldrums Equity markets remained in the red on Tuesday as global bond yields extended their ascent to multi-year highs, freaking out jittery investors already on edge about the dimming growth outlook following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar powers ahead as US yields keep surging; central banks in focus

Posted on April 11, 2022 at 9:38 am GMT

Dollar at 2-year high as Treasuries rout deepens, puts Wall Street on backfoot ahead of earnings Euro edges up after Macron survives round 1 of election, spotlight now on ECB Chinese yuan and stocks slip amid lockdown havoc, oil can’t take the heat either US real yields approach zero, dollar shines, stocks pay the price The Fed’s latest tilt towards the far hawkish end of the dove-hawk scale continued to reverberate across markets on Monday, giving the US dollar another [..]

Week Ahead – BoC and RBNZ to hike big, ECB to bide its time

Posted on April 8, 2022 at 12:15 pm GMT

It’s going to be a major week for central banks ahead of the long Easter weekend, with three meetings on the way and rate hikes looking almost certain to be the outcome of at least two of them. So the spotlight will fall on the Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of New Zealand and European Central Bank for much of the week. Although economic data will also be ample – inflation numbers will be watched in China, the United States [..]

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US Open Note – Dollar stands firm; ECB meeting minutes fail to move the euro

Posted on April 7, 2022 at 1:13 pm GMT

Dollar preserves FOMC boost; stocks weaker The US dollar kept its lead against a basket of major currencies on Thursday, trading almost at a one-year high. The world’s reserve currency is now set for a thriving weekly close as the FOMC meeting minutes reaffirmed the Fed’s recent sharp hawkish tone yesterday, revealing that the central bank will hit the stimulus brakes more aggressively in the coming months. In addition to a larger 50 bps rate hike, the central bank openly [..]

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