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AUDUSD

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Week Ahead – Fed decides as pressure grows to pause rate hikes; BoE and BoJ meet too

Posted on December 14, 2018 at 1:27 pm GMT

The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting will be the main attraction next week as speculation grows the US central bank could signal slowing down the pace of rate hikes. Policy meetings by the Bank of England and Bank of Japan are not expected to draw as much attention. Instead, economic data will be grabbing the headlines for the rest of the week as inflation, retail sales and GDP figures are due for a number of major markets, including, Canada, Japan, the [..]

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European Open Preview – Euro softens as ECB ends QE, but turns cautious

Posted on December 14, 2018 at 8:38 am GMT

Euro ticks down as ECB ends QE, but downgrades balance of risks Aussie and kiwi fall sharply after key Chinese data disappoint EU refuses to renegotiate Brexit deal; sterling rallies may remain short-lived US retail sales data due out today Euro inches lower despite Draghi trying his best not to seem dovish The European Central Bank (ECB) officially announced the end of its crisis-era QE program yesterday, as expected. The Bank revised down its growth and inflation forecasts, though that [..]

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Aussie looks to key Chinese data as trade talks remain in the spotlight – Forex News Preview

Posted on December 13, 2018 at 1:37 pm GMT

China’s latest industrial production, retail sales, and fixed asset investment figures will hit the markets early on Friday, at 0200 GMT. Forecasts point to an acceleration in the latter two, which may alleviate some worries around a slowdown in economic growth, and potentially help the yuan and the “China-sensitive” aussie to recover some ground. In the bigger picture, the most crucial variable for both currencies may be how US-China trade talks evolve. The Chinese economy has slowed somewhat in recent [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound advances as May survives; ECB meeting eyed

Posted on December 13, 2018 at 8:27 am GMT

Sterling advances as PM May survives leadership contest, but sustained rally unlikely ECB meets today; Draghi’s tone will be crucial for the euro SNB meets as well, likely to maintain a dovish stance Meanwhile, reports China may open its economy boost risk sentiment Pound soars as May survives, but odds of a sustained rally slim Sterling surged on Wednesday, as it became increasingly clear throughout the session that PM May would survive the no-confidence motion, amid a plethora of Tory [..]

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European Open Preview – Pound under pressure as Tories trigger leadership contest

Posted on December 12, 2018 at 8:52 am GMT

Sterling near 20-month lows as Conservative lawmakers trigger no-confidence vote in Theresa May; ballot to be held today Risk appetite recovers as Trump and China stoke hopes for a deal Euro remains on the back foot ahead of tomorrow’s ECB meeting US inflation data on tap Sterling crumbles as Tories trigger leadership challenge The British pound sank to a fresh 20-month low versus the dollar on Tuesday, following reports that “rebels” within Theresa May’s Conservative party nearly have the numbers [..]

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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD pauses bearish rally in short-term; indicators turn positive

Posted on December 12, 2018 at 7:34 am GMT

AUDUSD is paring some of the previous week’s losses, surpassing the 40-day simple moving average (SMA). However, the price returned back below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the downleg from 0.8135 to 0.7020, near 0.7285 after it created a new peak at 0.7390, a four-month high. While the technical indicators continue to pick up speed, mirroring the market’s bullish behavior over the past two days, the RSI is still moving in the negative zone, but is pointing up, flagging [..]

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Aussie eyes China’s trade and inflation data – Forex News Preview

Posted on December 7, 2018 at 1:33 pm GMT

Over the weekend, China will release its trade and inflation data for November. Forecasts point to a slowdown in both exports and imports, as well as in inflationary pressures. Such figures could amplify speculation that trade-related uncertainty is starting to weigh on the world’s second largest economy and potentially hurt the yuan, as well as the aussie, which is considered a liquid proxy for “China plays”. China’s exports are anticipated to have grown by 10.0% on a yearly basis in [..]

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European Open Preview – Risk sentiment sours; OPEC summit front and center

Posted on December 6, 2018 at 8:30 am GMT

Risk appetite crumbles as US arrests Huawei CFO, generating worries of re-escalation in the trade conflict Today, all eyes are on OPEC’s meeting (1200 GMT); expectations for a production cut are elevated Loonie nosedives to a 1½-year low as BoC shifts to a more cautious stance Risk appetite falters on fears of “trade war” re-escalation After a relatively calm Wednesday, risk appetite deteriorated once more during the Asian session on Thursday, following news that the CFO of the Chinese tech [..]

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Strategy update: The trade ‘truce’, the Fed’s possible pause and May’s Brexit woes

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 3:05 pm GMT

Markets unconvinced by Trump-Xi trade rapprochement The Fed could slow rate hikes Market braces for Brexit turbulence as May struggles to convince Parliament Markets unconvinced by Trump-Xi trade rapprochement A major theme for global markets and the global economy is the uncertainty caused by the frictions between the United States and China. It was therefore an initially positive piece of news that the two countries would restart a new round of negotiations that would last for 90 days, that China would pledge to import [..]

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European Open Preview – Stocks sink amid trade woes; BoC decision eyed

Posted on December 5, 2018 at 8:46 am GMT

Trump’s trade posturing sinks stock markets Bank of Canada to stand pat (1500 GMT), but may appear a touch more cautious Dollar rebounds after Fed’s Williams reiterates “gradual hikes” Sterling remains turbulent as Parliamentary debate kicks off Equities sink on Trump’s trade posturing Wall Street plunged, with the S&P 500 falling by a whopping 3.24% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite nosediving by 3.80%. Meanwhile, defensive assets like the Japanese yen outperformed. The mood was already sour before the US markets [..]

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