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AUDUSD

Daily Market Comment – Dollar firms, stocks slip as spike in virus cases begins to cause worry

Posted on June 18, 2020 at 8:50 am GMT

Risk appetite wanes as markets start to take second wave fears more seriously Surge in cases in Beijing and US drive up dollar demand, weigh on stocks Pound weaker ahead of BoE decision; aussie and kiwi stumble on poor data Risk rally on pause as second wave threatens recovery A worrying increase in the number of new COVID-19 cases in several locations around the world appears to have put the brakes on the risk rally that just a few days [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD cautiously positive after pullback stalls uptrend

Posted on June 18, 2020 at 7:52 am GMT

AUDUSD appears paused after having pivoted from a formed nearly 11-month peak of 0.7064, something also reflected in the flattened Ichimoku lines. Although the tone of the 50-, 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) and the Ichimoku lines sponsor an improving picture, the short-term oscillators reflect weakening positive momentum. The MACD, deep in the positive zone, is declining below its red signal line, while the RSI drops in bullish territory. If sellers maintain control and the support section of 0.6749 – [..]

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Australian jobs data: A risk for the high-flying aussie? – Forex News Preview

Posted on June 17, 2020 at 12:02 pm GMT

The latest employment numbers out of Australia will hit the markets at 01:30 GMT Thursday and forecasts point to more job losses, though that may be more of a counting issue than a reflection of real economic conditions. The high-flying aussie could spike lower if the data disappoint, but its broader direction will hinge mainly on risk sentiment. On that front, much will depend on how the global virus picture evolves, especially in America. Statistical shenanigans? Australia is expected to [..]

Daily Market Comment – Geopolitical tensions and virus spike dampen sentiment, but not much

Posted on June 17, 2020 at 8:51 am GMT

Rising regional tensions and a worrying increase in coronavirus cases weigh on risk assets But safe havens barely supported as growth optimism and drug hopes keep risk appetite alive Yen and gold slip, aussie bounces back from lows as stocks turn green Geopolitical tensions on the rise Clashes along the border between India and China as well as fresh provocations by North Korea over the last 24 hours raised fears of a serious flare up in regional conflicts amid a [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks slide again on second wave fears; Pound skids ahead of Brexit talks

Posted on June 15, 2020 at 8:42 am GMT

A resurgence of coronavirus cases sends stocks into a tailspin again Aussie takes a beating, yen and franc up, but gold unable to capitalize Pound extends losses as Johnson tries to kickstart stalled Brexit talks End of the risk rally? The unstoppable risk rally that’s pushed global stocks close to erasing their virus-led losses is in danger of faltering as fears of a second wave of infections intensify. Several states in America have seen a large increase in the number [..]

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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD dives below 0.6800, posting 2-week low

Posted on June 15, 2020 at 7:49 am GMT

AUDUSD is slipping to a new two-week low around 0.6775, penetrating the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 0.6375 to 0.7065 at 0.6800 and the lower surface of the Ichimoku cloud. According to the momentum indicators, the RSI is moving sideways in the negative zone, while the stochastic dropped in the oversold zone, confirming the recent negative structure. Additionally, the 20- and 40-period simple moving averages (SMAs) completed a bearish crossover in the 4-hour chart. A stronger [..]

Week Ahead – BoE and Brexit could create perfect storm for pound; BoJ and SNB meet too

Posted on June 12, 2020 at 12:49 pm GMT

An upcoming summit of EU leaders could decide the fate of the European recovery fund and the direction of Brexit talks, setting up possible stumbling blocks for the euro’s and pound’s rebounds. The pound will also be keeping an eye on the Bank of England’s policy meeting, with more QE looking likely. The Bank of Japan’s and Swiss National Bank’s respective meetings are not expected to be as exciting. But as some of the recent optimism starts to fade, it [..]

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How the stock market took over the FX market – Special Report

Posted on June 12, 2020 at 12:42 pm GMT

Once upon a time in a pre-covid world, the currency market and the stock market were driven by different factors. Correlations between the two existed of course, but they were limited to a few pairs, like dollar/yen. Nowadays though, it feels like every FX chart is linked directly to risk sentiment and equity market performance, instead of cross-country fundamentals. What changed, and what would a stock correction from the current heights imply for the FX market?   The dollar: A [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets plummet as second wave fears grip investors

Posted on June 12, 2020 at 8:02 am GMT

Worries of a second infection wave kill the euphoria in markets S&P 500 loses almost 6%, dollar and yen shine again, commodity currencies crumble But risk sentiment back on the mend Friday, with most moves retracing a little Just a mild correction or start of something bigger? Daily virus numbers might decide that Risk aversion returns with a vengeance Just when it seems that all the bears have capitulated and that stock markets can’t bleed anymore, risk sentiment falls apart [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed walks the dovish line, but markets want more

Posted on June 11, 2020 at 8:16 am GMT

Fed commits to rock bottom rates for years, reaffirms ‘whatever it takes’ stance Dollar drops initially and stocks jump, but moves reverse as Powell doesn’t commit to yield curve control Markets in risk-averse mood overall Thursday, worrisome US virus numbers not helping Today: Eurogroup meeting on recovery fund and US jobless claims Fed says the right things, but markets left wanting As expected, the Federal Reserve took no action yesterday, signaled via its ‘dot plot’ of interest rate projections that [..]

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