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USDJPY

XM-forskning

XM-forskning - 2 dagar sedan

Technical Analysis – USDJPY heads up, but for how long?

USDJPY rebounds off 143.40 Remains well below the 200-day SMA Momentum oscillators move higher USDJPY is rising somewhat after the bounce off the 143.40 support level, which failed several times to have a closing session beneath it. The MACD oscillator climbed above its trigger line in the negative region, while the RSI is pointing sl
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XM-forskning - 2 dagar sedan

Daily Comment – Dollar edges up ahead of PCE inflation as stocks drift

All eyes on US core PCE and consumption as bets for 50-bps cut stall Dollar headed for weekly gains but Nasdaq has disappointing week Euro on the backfoot as soft Eurozone CPI cements September cut Big Tech woes weigh on Wall Street The US dollar looks set to pare its monthly losses as it heads for its first weekly gain since mid-July amid more evidence that the US economy is humming along nicely.
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XM-forskning - 2 dagar sedan

Week Ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Traders see decent chance for 50bps Fed cut in September Powell adds extra importance to jobs data, NFP awaited BoC decides on rates, third consecutive cut is fully priced in Aussie traders lock gaze on GDP numbers   Bets for double Fed cut remain elevated Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts.
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XM-forskning - 4 dagar sedan

Daily Comment – Markets cautious as Nvidia earnings and key US data loom

Dollar pauses slide as jobs and inflation data awaited Yen pulls back but hawkish BoJ signals keep it elevated Wall Street awaits Nvidia, oil retreats on demand worries Dollar awaits key data for direction The US dollar extended its slump against all its major peers on Tuesday, as in the absence of any top-tier data and shocking headlines, investors continued to digest Powell’s dovish stance at Jackson Hole.
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XM-forskning - 4 dagar sedanBearish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY gets assistance from 143.40 support

USDJPY retains bearish bias MACD and RSI try to gain some momentum 23.6% Fibonacci acts as strong resistance USDJPY is continuing its descending movement, especially after the failed attempt to jump above the uptrend line and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 161.94 to 141.60 at 149.50. As the market remains beneath the 23.6% Fibonacci of 146.45 and the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), there is no notable sign for an upside retracement.
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XM-forskning - 5 dagar sedan

Daily Comment – Rate cut euphoria tempered by geopolitics as oil surges

Mood turns cautious amid geopolitical uncertainty in Libya and Gaza Fears of supply disruptions drive up oil prices, S&P 500 closes lower China concerns also weigh but European stocks turn positive as data awaited Geopolitical risks take over as oil rallies Equity markets were mixed on Tuesday and the US dollar consolidated as investors turned cautious ahead of the week’s main events amid renewed fears about disruptions to oil supply.
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XM-forskning - 6 dagar sedanBearish

USDJPY falls to three-week low after Powell confirms shift to rate cuts Latest decline looks overdone; support at 143.40   USDJPY has been trending to the downside after completing a bearish rising wedge in the four-hour chart, and Powell’s dovish speech at Jackson Hole further strengthened selling incentives on Friday, pressing the price to a three-week low of 143.43. The 143.40 region was a key constraint to downside movements at the start of the year and could again protect the m
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XM-forskning - 6 dagar sedan

Daily Comment – Powell signals it’s time to cut; dollar sinks but risk rally muted

Powell says the time has come for rate cuts, pushing yields and dollar lower But cautious rally in stocks as Nvidia earnings, inflation data awaited Oil jumps amid fresh escalation between Israel and Hezbollah Powell green lights rate cuts Fed Chair Jerome Powell locked in a September rate cut on Friday, using his Jackson Hole address to signal the Fed’s long-awaited pivot toward an easing cycle.
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XM-forskning - 6 dagar sedan

Weekly Technical Outlook – US dollar index, EURUSD, USDJPY

US Core PCE index could attract greater attention with an impact on dollar index Eurozone flash CPI closer to ECB’s target; EURUSD unlocks 1.1200 Japan’s Tokyo CPI might stay put; USDJPY heads south US core PCE inflation --> US dollar index   The release of the US Core PCE price index for July this Friday will provide crucial insights into the underlying inflation trends.
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XM-forskning - 1 vecka sedan

Technical Analysis – USDJPY hovers beneath uptrend line

USDJPY meets 23.6% Fibonacci MACD and RSI slow down their negative momentum USDJPY bounced off the 144.50 support level and is now testing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 161.94 to 141.60 at 146.45. A move beyond this level could find immediate resistance at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at 147.40 before flirting with the ascending trend line and the 38.2% Fibonacci at 149.50. Also, the 200-day SMA at 151.30 may fail to help the bulls to climb furthe
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XM-forskning - 1 vecka sedan

Market Comment – Markets position ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

Dollar rebounds despite jobless claims increase Traders position for Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Yen rebounds as BoJ’s Ueda appears willing to continue hiking rates Wall Street slips as tech shares weigh, gold pulls back Fed cut bets readjusted ahead of Powell’s speech The US dollar rebounded against all but one of its major peers on Thursday, with the only exception being the British pound.
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XM-forskning - 1 vecka sedan

Week Ahead – PCE inflation eyed as Fed lays groundwork for September cut

Focus to stay on the Fed as PCE inflation to be week’s main highlight Eurozone inflation data to be crucial for ECB rate cut hopes Australian and Tokyo CPI, plus Canadian GDP also on the agenda Will PCE inflation disappoint dovish expectations? The Fed’s long-anticipated dovish pivot is upon us and markets are bracing for the first US rate cut of this cycle at the September 17-18 meeting.
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XM-forskning - 1 vecka sedan

Market Comment – Dovish Fed and labor data weigh on dollar

Fed minutes reveal some members wanted a July cut Nonfarm payroll growth revised down by the most since 2009 PMIs in focus ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Wall Street gains ground, oil extends slide Dollar slips as traders ramp up Fed cut bets The dollar extended its slide against its major counterparts on Wednesday, as the minutes of the July 30-31 Fed gathering revealed that officials are strongly leaning towards a September rate cut, with some members being willing
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XM-forskning - 2 veckor sedan

Market Comment – Dollar looks at the Fed minutes for a small boost

Dollar weakness dominates the FX space Today’s Fed minutes could halt the euro/dollar rally Markets are gearing up to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech Oil prices remain under pressure  Dollar underperformance continues The euro continues to take advantage of the US dollar’s weakness by trading to the highest level since December 2023. This pair has managed to quickly climb above the critical 1.1032-1.1095 area, which has acted as strong resistance in the recent pas
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XM-forskning - 2 veckor sedanBearish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY rises but still in negative territory

USDJPY remains below 200-day SMA and uptrend line RSI ticks higher reflecting the latest move USDJPY is gaining some ground after three consecutive red days and losing around 3% from the 149.50 resistance level. The market has been trading beneath the long-term ascending trend line since the downfall at the beginning of August and more importantly is holding below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
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XM-forskning - 2 veckor sedan

Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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XM-forskning - 2 veckor sedan

Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs enter the spotlight

As recession fears ease, investors lock gaze on Jackson Hole Eurozone and UK PMIs to affect ECB and BoE expectations Canadian inflation could back third consecutive BoC cut Japan’s Nationwide CPI data also on the agenda Jackson Hole to test overly dovish Fed cut bets Following the unjustified panic triggered by the weaker-than-expected NFP report for July, investors have taken a calmer stance, thereafter, reevaluating their aggressive Fed rate cut bets as the incoming data s
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XM-forskning - 2 veckor sedan

Market Comment – US retail sales eyed after CPI report fails to set off fireworks

US inflation eases further in July but market reaction is muted Wall Street unimpressed, dollar mixed Yen and pound supported by upbeat GDP data US CPI does little for 50-bps cut hopes The steady recovery in risk appetite remains on track following yesterday's inflation numbers out of the US that seem to have somewhat underwhelmed investors.
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XM-forskning - 3 veckor sedan

Market Comment – Markets perk up as soft PPI sets the tone ahead of US CPI

Stocks perk up after soft US producer prices, all eyes now on CPI report Kiwi slumps after RBNZ cuts rates and signals more to come Pound also slips on weaker-than-expected UK inflation data Gold holds near record high as dollar skids, ME tensions mount Mood brightens ahead of US CPI data The rebound in equity markets gained further traction on Tuesday after US producer prices rose less than expected in July, raising hopes that today’s report on consumer prices will also sur
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XM-forskning - 3 veckor sedanNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDJPY's sideways trading might end abruptly

USDJPY continues to hover around the 146 area Market participants are preparing for the US CPI release Momentum indicators remain mixed USDJPY continues to trade sideways, hovering around the 146.65-147.71 area for the fifth consecutive session. The bears are holding most of the gains of the sizeable correction from the early July high of 161.94, but have failed to take advantage of USD’s recent underperformance.
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