Stocks, Treasury yields gain as odds of Trump win increase
Dow registers record high close
PredictIt shows increased chance of Republican win
Crypto stocks higher
Updates to 5:00 p.m. (2100 GMT
By Caroline Valetkevitch
NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) -World stock indexes and Treasury yields rose on Monday as investors weighed the prospect of Republican Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential race after he survived an assassination attempt, while the dollar dipped after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Longer-dated U.S. bond yields climbed on the assumption that Trump policies would add to government debt and inflation, while crypto stocks rallied along with bitcoin BTC=. Trump has presented himself as a champion of cryptocurrency.
Investors have viewed a Trump win as likely to mean more tax cuts and a looser regulatory environment. The S&P 500 energy sector .SPNY gained 1.6%.
On online betting website PredictIt, contracts for a Trump election victory traded at 68 cents, up from 60 cents on Friday, with a potential payout of $1. Contracts for a Biden victory were at 26 cents.
The assassination attempt in Pennsylvania on Saturday of Trump appeared to improve his chances for election. The motive behind a 20-year-old gunman's attempt on the life of Trump remained a mystery, with the suspect having been killed and the FBI unable to determine an ideology that may have been behind the attack.
"The publicity around the event is providing some kind of a boost," said Josh Wein, portfolio manager at Hennessy Funds.
But, he said, "the last four, five days the (stock) market has been rallying... so it's a continuation of a strong move from the back half of last week since we realized that maybe there is some reason to celebrate the idea that there could be one and now likely two rate cuts by the end of the year."
Investors digested comments from Powell, who said on Monday the three U.S. inflation readings over the second quarter of this year do "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of price increases is returning to the Fed's target in a sustainable fashion.
Traders are also pricing in a second and possible third rate cut by December. FEDWATCH
While all three major U.S. stock indexes ended well below session highs, the Dow Jones Industrial Average notched an all-time closing high.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 210.82 points, or 0.53%, to 40,211.72, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 15.87 points, or 0.28%, to 5,631.22 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC gained 74.12 points, or 0.40%, to 18,472.57.
Shares of Goldman Sachs GS.N gained 2.6% after the company reported quarterly results. More results are expected week for the second-quarter U.S. earnings season.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 0.18 points, or 0.02%, to 828.73. The STOXX 600 .STOXX index fell 1.02%.
Dour updates from British luxury group Burberry and watchmaker Swatch Group raised questions about consumer confidence.
The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last down 0.04% to 104.25, with the euro EUR= down 0.01% at $1.0893. Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.02% to 158.04.
The greenback fell to 157.15 as Powell spoke, its lowest since June 17, before rebounding.
Bitcoin was last up slightly after it reached a three-week high earlier of $63,838.86.
Benchmark 10-year yields US10YT=RR rose 4 basis points to 4.229%, while two-year yields US2YT=RR fell half a basis point to 4.4554%.
Oil prices were down slightly, with worries about demand in top importer China offseting support from OPEC+ supply restraint and ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
U.S. crude CLc1 lost 30 cents to settle at $81.91 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 fell 18 cents to $84.85.
Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
Additional reporting by Isla Binnie in New York, Iain Withers in London and and by Lisa Mattackal and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru and by Wayne Cole in Sydney; Editing by Christian Schmollinger, Jamie Freed, Arun Koyyur, Susan Fenton, Will Dunham and Tomasz Janowski
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
Relaterade tillgångar
Senaste nytt
Ansvarsfriskrivning: XM Group-enheter tillhandahåller sin tjänst enbart för exekvering och tillgången till vår onlinehandelsplattform, som innebär att en person kan se och/eller använda tillgängligt innehåll på eller via webbplatsen, påverkar eller utökar inte detta, vilket inte heller varit avsikten. Denna tillgång och användning omfattas alltid av i) villkor, ii) riskvarningar och iii) fullständig ansvarsfriskrivning. Detta innehåll tillhandahålls därför uteslutande som allmän information. Var framför allt medveten om att innehållet på vår onlinehandelsplattform varken utgör en uppmaning eller ett erbjudande om att ingå några transaktioner på de finansiella marknaderna. Handel på alla finansiella marknader involverar en betydande risk för ditt kapital.
Allt material som publiceras på denna sida är enbart avsett för utbildnings- eller informationssyften och innehåller inte – och ska inte heller anses innehålla – rådgivning och rekommendationer om finansiella frågor, investeringsskatt eller handel, dokumentation av våra handelskurser eller ett erbjudande om, eller en uppmaning till, en transaktion i finansiella instrument eller oönskade finansiella erbjudanden som är riktade till dig.
Tredjepartsinnehåll, liksom innehåll framtaget av XM såsom synpunkter, nyheter, forskningsrön, analyser, kurser, andra uppgifter eller länkar till tredjepartssajter som återfinns på denna webbplats, tillhandahålls i befintligt skick, som allmän marknadskommentar, och utgör ingen investeringsrådgivning. I den mån som något innehåll tolkas som investeringsforskning måste det noteras och accepteras att innehållet varken har varit avsett som oberoende investeringsforskning eller har utarbetats i enlighet med de rättsliga kraven för att främja ett sådant syfte, och därför är att betrakta som marknadskommunikation enligt tillämpliga lagar och föreskrifter. Se till så att du har läst och förstått vårt meddelande om icke-oberoende investeringsforskning och riskvarning om ovannämnda information, som finns här.
