Компания XM не предоставляет услуги резидентам Соединенных штатов Америки.

US stocks and dollar defensive, bonds rally as Harris harries Trump



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks and dollar defensive, bonds rally as Harris harries Trump</title></head><body>

U.S. stock futures dip 0.3%, dollar down

Bond yields fall as Harris performance fuels rate cut chances

Oil prices rise 1.5% on concerns hurricane hits output

Updates prices at 1105 GMT

By Lawrence White

LONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters) -U.S. stock futures faltered, the dollar was on the defensive and bond prices rallied, as markets reacted to a U.S. presidential debate in which Vice President Kamala Harris put Republican Donald Trump on the defensive.

The presidential hopefuls battled over abortion, the economy, immigration and Trump's legal woes at their combative first debate, leaving investors skittish ahead of U.S. inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy moves next week.

Bond yields, which move inversely to prices, fell as Democrat candidate Harris' robust showing fuelled expectations of a decline in interest rates, whereas investors forecast higher spending that would boost rates if Trump wins.

Ten-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR fell to 3.6068%, the lowest since June 2023, while Germany's 10-year yield DE10YT=RR, the benchmark for the euro zone bloc, fell 2.5 basis points (bps) to 2.12%, a fresh one-month low.

Harris' late entry in the presidential race after President Joe Biden's withdrawal in July has tightened the race, and her strong debate performance continued a reversal of trades that were put in place on expectations of a second Trump presidency.

S&P 500 futures EScv1 fell 0.3%, as investors perceive Harris less likely to splurge government money or to cut taxes.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS also dropped 0.3%.

European shares were the bright spot in equities, with the pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX up 0.4%, boosted by the oil and gas sectors on concerns that Hurricane Francine would disrupt output in the U.S.

The presidential debate shed little light on fiscal policies, although betting markets swung in Harris' favour after the event.

In a boost to the Harris campaign, pop megastar Taylor Swift said she would back Harris in the Nov. 5 election.

"With the dust settling on the Trump vs Harris presidential debate, it's clear that the market saw this debate going to Kamala Harris," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.

"This debate was never going to be an exercise in digging deep into the weeds and into the granularity of the respective policies, and we're certainly not significantly wiser on that front."

The dollar index =USD, which measures the U.S. currency against six peers, was down 0.256% at 101.38.

"You'd expect if he (Trump) was doing better, that you'd see a strong dollar coming out of this. So I suppose that's the way the market is looking at it. It's a slight lean towards Harris," said Rob Carnell, ING's regional head of research for Asia-Pacific.

The yen JPY=EBS strengthened more than 1% to 140.71 per dollar, the highest since late December, boosted also by comments from Bank of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa.

Nakagawa reiterated in a speech that the central bank would continue to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation move in line with its forecasts.

Shares of U.S. cryptocurrency and blockchain-related companies declined in premarket trading, tracking losses in bitcoin BTC= which fell 2%.

Speaking at the Bitcoin 2024 convention in Nashville in July, Trump had positioned himself as the pro-cryptocurrency candidate.

INFLATION WATCH

Investors are now looking to the U.S. Labor Department's consumer price index report later on Wednesday for policy clues, although the Federal Reserve has made it clear employment has taken on a greater focus than inflation.

The headline CPI is expected to have risen 0.2% on a month-on-month basis in August, according to a Reuters poll, unchanged from the previous month.

While the Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates next week, the size of the rate cut is still up for debate, especially after a mixed labour report on Friday failed to provide clarity on which way the central bank could go.

"What we needed to see to spur the Fed into greater action would be much more obvious evidence of slowdown/recession, and in particular in the labour market. And I don't think we saw that in the last payrolls report," said ING's Carnell.

Markets are currently pricing in a 65% chance of the U.S. central bank cutting rates by 25 basis points, while a 35% chance is ascribed for a 50 bps cut when the Fed delivers its decision on Sept. 18, CME FedWatch tool showed.

In commodities, oil prices recovered by 2% afterdropping over 3% in the previous session, as a fall in U.S. crude inventories and concern about Hurricane Francine disrupting U.S. output countered concerns about weak global demand.O/R

Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 2% to $70.64 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 rose 2.25% to $67.21.


World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4


Reporting by Ankur Banerjee and Lawrence White; Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Jacqueline Wong, Kim Coghill and Elaine Hardcastle

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets
</body></html>

Похожие активы


Последние новости

US manufacturing output rebounds in August


Chipmakers lay out factory plans in Europe, US and Asia

I
I
M
T

Wall Street opens higher after retail sales data, Fed decision in focus

U
U

As Fed cuts loom, health of US economy could determine markets' path

U

New EU climate and competition chiefs to develop bloc's 'clean industrial deal'

Правовая оговорка: Компании группы XM Group предоставляют только услуги по исполнению сделок и доступ к нашей торговой онлайн-среде, в которой пользователи могут просматривать и (или) пользоваться материалами, доступными на вебсайте либо доступными по ссылкам с данного сайта на другие. Предоставление доступа к онлайн-среде не меняет сути предоставляемых услуг и не расширяет их. Такой доступ и пользование материалами предоставляются с учетом:(i) «Условий и положений»; (ii) «Предупреждений о рисках» и (iii) полного текста «Правовой оговорки». Следовательно, подобные материалы предоставляются лишь в качестве информации общего характера. В частности, просим Вас иметь в виду, что материалы, содержащиеся в нашей торговой онлайн-среде, не являются ни просьбой осуществить какие-либо транзакции на финансовых рынках, ни предложением к осуществлению подобных транзакций. Торговля на любом финансовом рынке подразумевает большой риск потери Вашего капитала.

Все материалы, опубликованные в нашей торговой среде, предоставляются только в образовательных или информационных целях и не содержат (и не должны рассматриваться как содержащие) финансовых, инвестиционных или торговых рекомендаций, а также информации о стоимости наших услуг по предоставлению доступа к рынкам, либо предложения или содействия в проведении транзакций по какому-либо финансовому инструменту или по незапрашиваемым финансовым услугам по отношению к Вам.

Любые материалы на данном вебсайте, созданные третьими лицами, а также материалы, подготовленные XM, такие как мнения экспертов, новости, исследования, анализ, котировки и другая информация, а также ссылки на сторонние сайты предоставляются в виде «как есть», как рыночная информация общего характера, и не являют собой рекомендации по инвестициям. Принимая во внимание то, что любые материалы рассматриваются как инвестиционное исследование, Вам следует учесть и принять тот факт, что никакие материалы не подготавливались и не предназначались к использованию в соответствии с правовыми нормами, способствующими независимости инвестиционных исследований. Следовательно, материалы следует рассматривать как материалы рекламного характера согласно соответствующим законам и правовым нормам. Рекомендуем Вам прочесть и уяснить для себя положения наших «Уведомления о субъективном инвестиционном исследовании» и «Предупреждения о рисках» в отношении приведённой выше информации. С этими документами можно ознакомиться здесь.

Предупреждение о риске. Вы рискуете потерять свой капитал. Торговля маржинальными продуктами подходит не всем инвесторам. Пожалуйста, ознакомьтесь с нашим Предупреждением о рисках.