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AUDJPY

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Reuters - 16 hours ago

FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR

BUZZ-FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR Trader option data from DTCC shows 12.5 billion euros of EUR/USD FX options , most around 1.0900, expiring on Monday and Tuesday, so no surprise to see a limited EUR/USD spot range around this level. Quite a busy data week which includes a European central bank policy announcement could increase volatility and add value to shorter-dated expiry EUR/USD options , where 1-week expiry implied volatility is currently trading lows sin
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Reuters - 23 hours ago

Australia, NZ dollars fall as Trump shooting galvanises greenback

Australia, NZ dollars fall as Trump shooting galvanises greenback SYDNEY, July 15 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars fell on Monday as the assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump boosted his re-election odds, lifting the greenback, while the soft Chinese data failed to provide any support. The Aussie AUD=D3 slipped 0.1% to $0.6772, having climbed 0.5% last week to a six-month top of $0.6798 thanks to favourable yield differentials.
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Reuters - 4 days ago

FX options wrap - JPY success, big EUR, low FX volatility

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY success, big EUR, low FX volatility FX option implied volatility is at, or edging toward, long-term lows in the major currency pairs, reflecting broader risk appetite and a continued lack of FX volatility . Benchmark one-month expiry implied volatility trades three-year at 4.9 , while one-month GBP/USD is trading just above its post-Brexit lows of 5.5. Other currency pairs and maturity dates are following suit as markets head in to the traditional summer lull.
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Reuters - 4 days ago

JPY volatility successfully quashed, options show

BUZZ-COMMENT-JPY volatility successfully quashed, options show July 12 (Reuters) - The price action in FX options since Thursday's U.S. CPI data reinforces expectations of official intervention, but also reflects its success in quashing related volatility and JPY weakness, at least for now. The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, but key part, of their premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Reuters - 4 days ago

Australian dollar sails to six-month top as kiwi sinks

Australian dollar sails to six-month top as kiwi sinks By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 12 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar held near six-month peaks on Friday as markets sharply narrowed the odds on U.S. rate cuts, while the New Zealand dollar was sunk by bets on even steeper cuts at home. The Aussie stood at $0.6762 AUD=D3 , after touching a top of $0.6799 overnight.
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Reuters - 4 days ago

US recap: EUR/USD firms after post-CPI yen surge

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD firms after post-CPI yen surge Dollar slammed vs yen , dovish US CPI backs September Fed cut AUD/USD -US inflation fueled a bull run July 11 (Reuters) - The dollar weakened against the majors on Thursday after an unexpected fall in headline U.S. CPI was reported, taking a particularly sharp tumble against the yen that is likely to draw comparisons to bouts of intervention by Japanese officials earlier this year.
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Reuters - 5 days ago

FX options wrap - Low FX vol justified but JPY caught off guard

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Low FX vol justified but JPY caught off guard Low overnight expiry FX option implied volatility flagged expectations of a minimal reaction to the U.S. CPI data, which proved to be justified . That is except for USD/JPY, where the price action would suggest officials may have taken advantage of the weaker U.S. data to give the JPY an intervention-led boost .
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Reuters - 5 days ago

Australian dollar flies high on kiwi, yen as rate outlooks diverge

CORRECTED-Australian dollar flies high on kiwi, yen as rate outlooks diverge Corrects the milestone for AUD/NZD to NZ$1.1104, not NZ$1.1017, in paragraph 2 SYDNEY, July 11 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood near 20-month highs against the kiwi on Thursday as markets ramped up bets of imminent rate cuts in New Zealand, while it kept hitting new 33-year tops on the low-yielding yen.
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Reuters - 6 days ago

FX options wrap - FX outlook, big profits, CPI risk, GBP 1.30

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook, big profits, CPI risk, GBP 1.30 FX option implied volatility remains under pressure across all currency pairs and maturit y dates, with a lack of FX realised volatility set to be further impeded by the typical summer lull . EUR/USD is a fine example for the broader FX outlook, with its benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility testing 3-year lows at 4.9 .
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Reuters - 6 days ago

New Zealand dollar falls, bonds rally as RBNZ flags possible easing

New Zealand dollar falls, bonds rally as RBNZ flags possible easing SYDNEY, July 10 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar fell on Wednesday while bonds rallied as markets sharply ramped up bets for a rate cut as early as August after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opened the door to possible easing if inflation slows as desired. The RBNZ held interest rates steady at 5.5%.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

FX options wrap - Fed risk, appeal, Brexit, JPY digital, RBNZ

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fed risk, appeal, Brexit, JPY digital, RBNZ FX option implied volatility continues to drift lower amid a lack of FX realised volatility, which should serve to enhance the appeal of FX carry trades . Benchmark 1-month expiry EUR/USD implied volatility eyes 3-year lows at 4.9 4.9 and 1-month GBP/USD eyes its post Brexit lows from May and March at 5.5. Even 1-month expiry USD/JPY implied volatility has fallen from 10.4 to 8.8 in a week as spot is drawn to alleged 161.00 digit
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Reuters - 1 week ago

Australian dollar sticks in soggy data, kiwi second-guesses RBNZ

Australian dollar sticks in soggy data, kiwi second-guesses RBNZ By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 9 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stalled near six-month highs on Tuesday as domestic data pointed to softness in consumption and employment, while the New Zealand dollar awaited an update on monetary policy due later in the week. The Aussie held at $0.6735 AUD=D3 , after stretching as far as $0.6762 on Monday.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

FX options wrap - FX signals, AUD up, EUR down, expensive

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX signals, AUD up, EUR down, expensive USD weakness and risk appetite have been weighing on FX option implied volatility and there is little to change that narrative unless Thursday's U.S CPI data beats expectations. EUR/USD implied volatility has almost erased all of the sharp gains seen after the French election was first called in mid June, while risk reversals contracts have given back most of their additional risk premium for EUR puts over calls.
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Reuters - 1 week ago

Australian dollar holds gains as yields attract; kiwi edgy into RBNZ meet

Australian dollar holds gains as yields attract; kiwi edgy into RBNZ meet SYDNEY, July 8 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar hovered near a six-month high on Monday, drawing support from favourable yield differentials, although it lost some ground on the kiwi ahead of a central bank policy meeting in New Zealand. The Aussie AUD=D3 was holding at $0.6746, having jumped 1.2% last week to as far as $0.6753, the highest since early January.
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Reuters - 2 weeks ago

FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium No surprise to see FX option implied volatility under broad based pressure as risk appetite and a weaker USD leave FX subdued within well worn ranges. U.S. holiday-thinned markets played their part, as did the passing of Friday's U.S. NFP data close to expectations. GBP/USD benefits from the weaker USD with negligible support from the landslide win for the Labour party in the UK election, which had been widely expected .
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Reuters - 2 weeks ago

Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Adds link for July 5 FXO expiries to line 3 July 5 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for Friday, July 5 , and for the week ahead.
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Reuters - 2 weeks ago

Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way

Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood near six-month highs on Friday as yield spreads swung in its favour, delivering a break of major chart resistance and hefty gains on the Japanese yen. The Aussie was up at $0.6731 AUD=D3 , having gained 0.9% for the week so far to reach $0.6733. The next major bull target is a peak from December last year at $0.6871. The kiwi dollar was lagging at $0.6115 NZD=D3 , to be up
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Reuters - 2 weeks ago

FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP

BUZZ-FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP The U.S. July 4 Independence Day holiday when combined with improved risk sentiment and the weaker dollar, has kept pressure on implied volatility on Thursday. Additional FX volatility premium for Friday's U.S. NFP data appears to be on the low side when comparing current overnight expiry implied volatility with prior levels, especially in EUR/USD .
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Reuters - 2 weeks ago

Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls

BUZZ-COMMENT-Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls July 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale recommends buying a 3-month expiry AUD call/USD spread via foreign exchange options with strikes at 0.6900 and 0.7000. Designed to be held until expiry, the option can return five times the premium paid if AUD/USD is above 0.7000. SocGen FX derivatives strategist Olivier Korber's rationale is that the Australian dollar may be the most resilient in the face of U.S.
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Reuters - 2 weeks ago

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook SYDNEY, July 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood tall near a six-month high on Thursday, after cracking major resistance levels overnight as soft U.S. economic data fanned hopes of a September rate cut, supporting bonds. The Aussie also made further gains on its New Zealand cousin and scaled a fresh 33-year peak versus the battered yen due to robust demand from carry trades - where traders borrow a currency with low interest r
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