Wall Street down ahead of Fed's Powell, slew of data
Main U.S. indexes modestly red: Nasdaq down ~0.2%
Sep Chicago PMI 46.6 vs 46.1 estimate
Euro STOXX 600 index down ~0.9%
Dollar up; crude dips; gold off ~1%; bitcoin down >3%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield edges up to ~3.76%
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com
WALL STREET DOWN AHEAD OF FED'S POWELL, JOBS DATA
Shares on Wall are modestly lower early on Monday, with investors seemingly taking a breather from a rally the past week ahead of key reports on manufacturing and employment.
The market is also looking to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech on the U.S. economic outlook later on Monday before the National Association for Business Economics due around 1355 EDT.
The Dow ended at a record high on Friday, and the S&P 500 is not far from an all-time high. Both indexes are set for their fifth straight month of gains, contradicting what has been a historical trend in which September is supposedly a weak month for stocks.
Aside from Powell, the market is also bracing for a crucial jobs report on Friday, with Wall Street economists forecasting 140,000 new jobs created in September, according to a Reuters poll. The lowest forecast is for 70,000 jobs and the highest is 200,000.
David Rosenberg, founder and president of research firm Rosenberg Research points out that the three-month average on the payroll data is +116,000, and the six-month is +164,000 "so consider the consensus estimate to be somewhere in the middle." He also notes the wide gap between the lowest and highest forecasts.
"One would firmly build the case for a -50 beeper on November 7th, and one would favor a 25-basis point cut," Rosenberg writes in a research note. "So, a lot is riding on this number, seeing as the Fed fund futures contracts now point to a toss-up (between 50 and 25 basis points)."
Here's a snapshot of markets in midmorning trading:
(Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss)
*****
FOR MONDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
NASDAQ COMPOSITE: RED FLAG WARNING? - CLICK HERE
HOLD YOUR HORSES ON LUXURY SECTOR AFTER CHINA STIMULUS - CLICK HERE
FTSE 100 SHOULDN'T FEAR THE STRONG POUND - CLICK HERE
SLIDING AUTOS SECTOR WEIGHS ON STOXX AFTER PROFIT WARNINGS - CLICK HERE
EUROPE SET FOR CAGEY START; AUTOS IN FOCUS - CLICK HERE
NIKKEI RETREATS, CHINA RALLIES - CLICK HERE
US early market snapshot https://tmsnrt.rs/3N6OjW9
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
