Earnings expectations creep higher
U.S. equity indexes rally: Dow out front, up ~2%
All S&P 500 sectors green; Industrials out front, up >2%
Dollar edges red; gold up ~1%; bitcoin up >3%; crude off >1%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield falls to ~4.21%
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS CREEP HIGHER
While less than stellar high-profile earnings reports helped cause quite the stir in the market this week, the latest data from LSEG shows expectations increasing gradually for S&P 500 .SPX as we get deeper into the reporting season.
With 206 reports already released, Wall Street's blended expectation (including estimates and actual reports) for second-quarter earnings growth is now at 12.1% year-over-year or 13% if the energy sector is excluded, according to the latest report from LSEG analyst Tajinder Dhillon.
In last Friday's report (July 19th), the blended expectation was 11.1% or 12.0% excluding energy.
In aggregate LSEG says companies are reporting earnings 4.4% above expectations, up from the 4.2% long-term beat rate (back to 1994), but down from the 7.3% beat for the last 4 quarters.
Q2 rev is now expected to grow 4.8% and this doesn't change if energy is excluded. The growth expectation has edged up from 4.5% last Friday.
The biggest drama in terms of expectation changes has come from the financial sector .SPSY which is now expected to show EPS growth of 17.6% vs expectations for 8.8% on July 1 (before earnings started). However, it should be noted that financials mostly report their results early in the earnings season.
But hang onto your hats and fasten your seat belts for the next weekly report (August 2) as the days ahead will bring reports from market heavyweights Microsoft .IXIC, on Tuesday before Apple AAPL.O and Amazon.com AMZN.O, both on Thursday.
(Sinéad Carew)
*****
FOR FRIDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR BULLS TUMBLE, BEARS JUMP - AAII - CLICK HERE
FRIDAY DATA OLYMPICS: PCE (ALMOST) STICKS THE LANDING - CLICK HERE
U.S. STOCKS RISE AS INFLATION READ POINTS TO RATE CUTS - CLICK HERE
U.S. STOCK FUTURES PARE GAINS SLIGHTLY AFTER PCE - CLICK HERE
DON'T CALL IT A ROTATION - CLICK HERE
MARKETS REACTING TO RECESSION THAT ISN'T THERE - CLICK HERE
EARNINGS HELP EUROPEAN INDEXES - CLICK HERE
BUSY BUSY - CLICK HERE
STOCKS ON FIRMER FOOTING AFTER WILD WEEK - CLICK HERE
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
