Barclays ups European cars to 'neutral' on resilient free cash flow
** Barclays upgrades its viewon the European car sector to "neutral" from "negative" citing resilient cash positions and shareholder returns potential, even as it cuts its estimates after recent big profit warnings
** With a more constructive U.S. and global rate cut narrative and the China stimulus, investors can no longer ignore the upside risks to European autos, it adds
** "We don't think it is opportunistic to remain Negative on EU Autos at this point after the sharp correction," it says, pointing to much lower absolute valuation levels with STOXX autos & parts index .SXAP being down 11% YTD
** In this context, it prefers original equipment manufactures with strong resilience and visibility, such as Ferrari RACE.MI, or strong improvement potential, like Renault RENA.PA and Volkswagen VOWG_p.DE, rating them "overweight"
** On the other hand, it neutralizes its rating to "equal weight" on Mercedes-Benz MBGn.DE, BMW BMWG.DE and Stellantis STLAM.MI, as the amount of earnings warnings in such a short time will still require some time to digest for the market
COMPANY | RATING | OLD RATING | PT | OLD PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Martin | Overweight | Overweight | 235p | 235p |
BMW | Equal weight | Underweight | 80 Eur | 90 Eur |
Mercedes-Benz | Equal weight | Equal weight | 65 Eur | 65 Eur |
Ferrari | Overweight | Overweight | 450 Eur | 450 Eur |
Dr Ing hc F Porsche | Equal weight | Equal weight | 70 Eur | 70 Eur |
Porsche Automobil Holding | Underweight | Equal weight | 35 Eur | 42 Eur |
Renault | Overweight | Overweight | 47.5 Eur | 60 Eur |
Stellantis | Equal weight | Overweight | 12.50 Eur | 23 Eur |
Volkswagen | Overweight | Overweight | 110 Eur | 110 Eur |
Reporting by Isabel Demetz
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