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USD/JPY volatile, off hard into LDN, up into NY, off again



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  • USD/JPY volatile yesterday, to 141.65 post-Tokyo, then up to 143.91 in NY

  • Pair off some since, Asia so far 143.69 to 143.38 EBS, on heavy side

  • Looking to break back below 143.41-144.26 descending hourly Ichi cloud

  • 200/100-HMAs 143.56/72 in cloud, 55-HMA below at 143.28, hourly kijun 142.78

  • BOJ seen data-dependent, Fed Nov rate cut expectations off to 25 bps

  • Rates and rate differentials shift some, US yields firm up, Japan yields too

  • Some volatility but rate diffs still in narrowing mode? To help cap USD/JPY?

  • Some chunky option expiries in area on 143, to help contain action

  • 143.00-15 $619 mln, 143.40 $931 mln, 143.80-90 $918 mln, 144.00 $510 mln

  • 145.00 likely cap in any case? $2.2 bln in expiries tom, Thurs to keep lid?

  • Some Japanese buys into Tokyo fix, exporters on rallies

  • Related comments nL1N3L6030, nL1N3LC0OB, nL1N3LC0D1, nL1N3LB038

  • Also nL1N3LC0WG, on the Fed nL1N3LC0XX

  • US markets nL1N3LC0UI, nL1N3LC13E, nL4N3LC12L, nL1N3LC01R

  • For more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/3N3dyc6

USD/JPY nearby option expiries this week: https://tmsnrt.rs/3BpzBXL

JGB-US Treasury 2-year interest rate differential: https://tmsnrt.rs/4enEgIx

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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