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USD/JPY off a leg but holds in elevated 147-150 range



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  • USD/JPY off leg from 149.58 high yesterday, Asia 148.57-69 EBS so far

  • Ensconced for now in both its hourly and daily Ichimoku clouds

  • Hourly cloud 148.35-94, 100/55-HMAs 148.51/77, in cloud, below/above spot

  • Wider and still descending daily cloud 145.09-151.81

  • US yields down from o/n highs but still firm, Tsy 2s @3.956%, 10s @4.066%

  • Recently wider JGB-US Treasury yield differentials USD supportive

  • Option expiries too, today 148.00 $1 bln, smaller at 148.20-30, 149.00

  • Massive $3.2 bln in expiries Monday however, to help cap?

  • Japanese exporters likely still in sell-mode at Tokyo fixes however

  • Many importers may await lower levels but still some pre-long weekend demand

  • Comment from BOJ's Himino late Tokyo yesterday suggest BOJ not so dovish

  • US CPI +2.4% y/y, smallest gain since '21, jobless claims jump, Fed dovish?

  • Related comments nL1N3LL05Y, nL1N3LM0Q9, nL1N3LM0FI, nL1N3LM06W

  • Bull views nL1N3LM0C0, nL1N3LM0B9, also nL1N3LM0XK

  • US markets nL1N3LM0VF, nL1N3LM10U, nL4N3LM0YW, nL1N3LM03K

  • On US economy nL1N3LM0IM, on Fed nL1N3LM0NF, for more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/3NkZtqw

USD/JPY nearby option expiries into next week: https://tmsnrt.rs/4dGXDv0

JGB-US Treasury 10-year interest rate differential: https://tmsnrt.rs/40jhvBp

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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