Manila stocks jump on rate cut hopes; currencies muted as US election looms
Philippine CPI below estimates
Thai stocks led by Delta Electronics
Expect baht to regain in Dec - analyst
Recasts and updates with new moves
By Rishav Chatterjee and Adwitiya Srivastava
Nov 5 (Reuters) - Philippine stocks rallied on Tuesday after the country's quickening inflation signalled a sustained cycle of policy easing, while most emerging Asia currencies were muted ahead of the U.S. presidential election.
Shares in Manila .PSI gained up to 1.2%, set for their strongest session since mid-October while stocks in Thailand .SETI climbed 0.9%, led by gains in power supplies manufacturer Delta Electronics.
Data on Tuesday showed, Philippine's consumer price index rose 2.3% in October from 1.9% reported the previous month and was belowthe 2.4% forecast in a Reuters poll.
This gives the central bank more room to maintain its policy easing cycleafter it cut the benchmark interest rate by25 basis points last month, for the second time this year. The peso was trading flat against the greenback.
"Inflation is expected to remain below 3.0% for the rest of the year, and much of the firsthalf of 2025, paving the wayfor another 25 bps rate cut by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas," saidanalysts at Citi.
Bangkok stocks hit their highest since late October, led by Delta ElectronicsDELTA.BK, which jumped 7.5% to a record high.
"So without a positive impact from Delta, I think the Thai market won't see a significant rally which should be in line with other Asia markets as market players are in defensive, wait-and-see mode until the U.S. election results come in," Poon Panichpibool, a markets strategist at Krung Thai Bank.
The Thai baht THB=TH,among the few Southeast Asian currencies which have gained since the start of the year, was trading 0.3% higher.
"Over medium to long-term, I still expect baht to regain some strength, especiallyin December and early Q1/2025 due to the highseason of foreign tourists and potential return of foreign fund flows back into the Thaicapital market," Panichpibool said.
Currency markets in emerging Asia were mostly muted, with investors in a wait-and-see mode until it becomes clear who will win the U.S. presidential election.
The Malaysian ringgit MYR= added 0.3% while the Indonesian rupiah was flat.
Shares in Jakarta .JKSE and Mumbai .NSEI were trading 0.2% and 0.6% lower.
HIGHLIGHTS
** Indonesia's Q3 GDPgrowth at 4.95% y/y
** China, HK stocks rise on signs of economic improvement
Asia stocks and currencies as at 0644 GMT | ||||||
COUNTRY | FX RIC | FX DAILY % | FX YTD % | INDEX | STOCKS DAILY % | STOCKS YTD % |
Japan | JPY= | -0.15 | -7.42 | .N225 | 1.32% | 15.83% |
China | CNY=CFXS | -0.07 | -0.11 | .SSEC | 2.14 | 13.65 |
India | INR=IN | -0.01 | -1.08 | .NSEI | -0.52 | 9.84 |
Indonesia | IDR= | -0.03 | -2.28 | .JKSE | -0.17 | 2.67 |
Malaysia | MYR= | +0.29 | +5.34 | .KLSE | 0.12 | 11.25 |
Philippines | PHP= | +0.07 | -5.09 | .PSI | 1.23 | 12.00 |
S.Korea | KRW=KFTC | -0.30 | -6.57 | .KS11 | -0.47 | -2.95 |
Singapore | SGD= | +0.09 | +0.05 | .STI | 0.11 | 10.36 |
Taiwan | TWD=TP | -0.68 | -4.49 | .TWII | 0.62 | 28.87 |
Thailand | THB=TH | +0.30 | +1.56 | .SETI | 0.82 | 4.18 |
Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Reporting by Rishav Chatterjee and Adwitiya Srivastava in Bengaluru; Editing by Clarence Fernandez and Eileen Soreng
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
