EUR/USD investors focused on pricing, techs and ignore spreads
Oct 10 (Reuters) -EUR/USD swung wildly after U.S. weekly claims and September CPI reports but the broader down trend eventually resumed as investors shrug off German-U.S. yield spreads.
Above estimate jobless and continuing claims sent U.S. 2-year yields US2YT=RR and the dollar downward. The dollar's yield advantage over the euro decreased as German-U.S. spreads US2DE2=RR tightened.
September headline CPI and core CPI came in above estimates however which fueled investors concerns inflation may be making a comeback.
Investors appear to be putting more emphasis on pricing data for trading decisions and will now focus on September PPI due Friday, which has components that figure into PCE -- the Fed's favored inflation gauge.
EUR/USD fell to a fresh 2-month low despite tighter yield spreads and the price action helped reinforce already bearish technicals.
EUR/USD traded below the daily cloud base while daily and monthly RSIs, which are not oversold, fell further to imply downward momentum remains in place.
Should PPI come in above estimates and October University of Michigan consumer inflation outlooks rise investors may lower the probability for future Fed rates cuts.
Yields and the dollar may rally in that scenario, which could sink EUR/USD towards key 1.0775-1.0800 support.
For more click on FXBUZ
(Christopher Romano is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
</body></html>Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
