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US crude, gasoline inventories seen down last week, distillate build likely



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Sept 3 (Reuters) -U.S. crude oil and gasoline stockpiles were expected to have fallen last week, while distillate inventories likely rose, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

Six analysts polled by Reuters estimated, on average, that crude inventories fell by about 600,000 barrels in the week to Aug. 30.

The poll was conducted ahead of reports from the American Petroleum Institute industry group, due at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Wednesday, and the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, due at 11:00 a.m. EDT (1500 GMT) on Thursday. Both reports are delayed a day due to Monday's Labor Day holiday.

Crude stocks fell by 846,000 barrels to 425.2 million barrels in the week ended Aug. 23, data showed, far less than analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.3 million-barrel draw.

REUTERS FORECAST CHANGE FOR WEEK ENDED

08/30/24

ACTUAL FOR WEEK (EIA) ENDED

08/23/24

CHANGE VS PREVIOUS WEEK

YR-AGO CHANGE WEEK ENDED 09/01/23

CRUDE

-0.6 MLN

425.2 MLN

-0.8 MLN

-6.3 MLN

DISTILLATE

0.4 MLN

123.1 MLN

0.3 MLN

0.7 MLN

GASOLINE

-0.8 MLN

218.4 MLN

-2.2 MLN

-2.7 MLN

REFINERY RUNS

-0.4 PCT PT

93.3%

1.0 PCT PT

-0.2 PCT PT

NATGAS STORAGE FORECAST

20 BCF TO 33 BCF (FIVE FORECASTS)

Analysts estimated stockpiles of gasoline USOILG=ECI fell by about 800,000 barrels last week, while distillate inventories USOILD=ECI, which include diesel and heating oil, were expected to have increased by 400,000 barrels.

The rate of refinery utilization USOIRU=ECI was estimated to have decreased by 0.4 percentage point from 93.3% of total capacity in the previous week, the poll found.

All figures for stocks are in millions of barrels. Refinery rate changes are measured in percentage points.

Organization

Crude

Distillate

Gasoline

Refinery runs

Confluence

0.5

1.0

0.5

-1.0

Excel Futures

-2.5

-0.9

-2.5

-0.5

LSEG

3.0

1.0

0.3

-0.1

Ritterbusch Associates

-2.3

1.0

-0.5

0.3

Rystad Energy

1.7

0.4

-1.1

-0.8

Stratas Advisors

-3.0

-3.6

-1.8

-0.3




Reporting by Anjana Anil in Bengaluru
Editing by Marguerita Choy

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