Markets strap in for a bumpy ride
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae Wee
It's been a turbulent week for investors marked by a tech selloff on the back of deepening Sino-U.S. trade tensions, uncertainty over U.S. President Joe Biden's fate in the presidential race, and China's lacklustre third plenum outcome.
And as the global outlook becomes increasingly precarious, even interest rate expectations have somewhat taken a backseat for now.
On hindsight, the attempted assassination of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump last weekend may have been a foreshadowing of more turmoil to come for markets, which has since been reflected in a spike in the VIX index .VIX - Wall Street's fear gauge.
Asian shares struggled to find a floor on Friday, as the selloff in technology stocks spilled across sectors, with Europe also set for a lower opening.
Even a stellar set of earnings and forecasts from Taiwan's TSMC 2330.TW wasn't able to tame investors' fears of a further U.S. chip crackdown on China, as shares of the world's largest contract chipmaker extended their declines on Friday.
Coupled with comments from Trump this week that Taiwan should pay the U.S. for its defence, TSMC was headed for its worst weekly decline since late May, with more than T$2 trillion ($61.06 billion) wiped off its peak market value.
The cautious market mood gave the dollar some safe haven support on Friday, as it distanced itself from a four-month low =USD hit on the back of rising bets for an imminent Federal Reserve easing cycle. FEDWATCH
Fed policymakers have in recent days set the stage for a September rate cut, while the European Central Bank left the door open on Thursday for a similar move.
As for the Bank of England, conditions are still not ripe for an easing of rates, and traders have reduced the chances of an August cut. 0#BOEWATCH
UK retail sales figures are due later on Friday, where expectations are for the wet and cold weather in June to have kept shoppers away.
In China, officials acknowledged on Friday the sweeping list of economic goals re-emphasised at the end of a key Communist Party meeting this week contained "many complex contradictions", pointing to a bumpy road ahead for policy implementation.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
- Germany producer prices (June)
- UK retail sales (June)
- Fed's Williams, Bostic speak
- American Express Q2 earnings
($1 = 32.7560 Taiwan dollars)
Chip dip https://tmsnrt.rs/4fcnDjR
Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
