Wheat climbs to one-week high; soy, corn firm ahead of USDA data
Grain markets focused on USDA report for corn, soy harvest data
Talk of tightening Black Sea supply underpins wheat
Updates with closing U.S. prices
By Julie Ingwersen
CHICAGO, Sept 11 (Reuters) -U.S. wheat futures hit a one-week high on Wednesday, supported by signs that supply pressure from the Black Sea export region may be easing, analysts said.
Soybean futures firmed and corn eked out a higher close after a choppy session as tradersadjusted positions ahead of key monthly crop reports dueThursday from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) that will includeupdated U.S. crop production estimates.
Chicago Board of Trade December wheat Wv1 settled up 5 cents at $5.79-1/4 per bushelafter reaching $5.82-1/4, the contract's highest level since Sept. 4.
Benchmark CBOT soybean futures Sv1 ended up 3-1/4 cents at $10.00-1/2 a bushel and corn Cv1 rose 1/2 cent to finish at $4.04-3/4 a bushel.
Wheat markets have been pressured in recent months by brisk exports from Russia and Ukraine. But doubts over the size of Russia's harvest were tempering supply expectations.
"Today's news about the Black Sea counties lowering their wheat export prospects and China's domestic (soy) crush remaining strong after last month's record August imports could be behind this morning's support," said Jerry Gidel, an analyst with Midland Research.
Consultancy IKAR has cut its forecast for Russia's wheat crop to 82.2 million metric tons from 83.8 million tons, citing adverse weather.
Ukraine's domestic and export wheat prices, meanwhile, are likely to rise in the coming weeks due to much smaller wheat stocks, major agricultural producers' group the Ukrainian Agrarian Council and analysts said.
Ahead of Thursday's monthlyUSDA reports, analysts surveyed by Reuters on average expect the government to leave its U.S. 2024 soybean yield forecast unchanged and slightly trim its corn yield estimate.
"Because the trade estimates are so close to neutral, I think a surprise is in the offing," said Jason Ward, analyst at Minneapolis-based Northstar, adding, "I just wish we knew which way it was going to be."
Meanwhile, traders are monitoring the approach ofHurricane Francine, which is expected to make landfall in the U.S. Gulf later on Wednesday, bringing heavy rainfall and the risk of considerable flooding to the region.
Reporting by Julie Ingwersen; Additional reporting by Gus Trompiz in Paris and Naveen Thukral in Singapore; Editing by Mark Porter and Deepa Babington
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.