Weakness in China hitting more than just luxury
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WEAKNESS IN CHINA HITTING MORE THAN JUST LUXURY
Second-quarter results from Europe's luxury names have mostly been on the soft side, with most companies flagging weakness in China behind the disappointing results.
LVMH, Burberry, Richemont, Swatch and Hugo Boss all highlighted sluggish Chinese domestic spending as why results had struggled to meet expectations.
The STOXX Europe Luxury 10 .STXLUXP, an index exposed to luxury goods, is down 5% in July alone and 16% from its peak in March.
But it's not just luxury stocks feeling the pinch.
"Indeed, with rising growth risks from international trade combined with slowing growth in China we have seen some cautious commentary this earnings season," Goldman Sachs strategists say in a note.
Goldman notes ASML ASML.AS results were clouded by risks of U.S. export controls to China, while for autos, Stellantis STLAM.MI and Daimler Truck Holding DTGGe.DE both cited China as a reason for their disappointing results.
"Continued lacklustre demand in China has been joined by surprise weakness in the US, with both regions a particular issue for luxury goods, consumer staples and autos in Q2," Bank of America Global Research analysts say.
"European autos have become the focal point of concern, with a disappointing season across the board (and a number of profit warnings) due to slowing demand in China and the US."
BofA also highlights that companies that have missed EPS estimates have been penalised heavily.
"Companies that have missed on EPS suffered a median 1-day underperformance of 2.4%, the sharpest in at least 12 years," BofA notes, "while those beating on EPS outperformed by 0.8%."
(Samuel Indyk)
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