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USD/JPY steadies after violent swings into/in NY



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  • USD/JPY volatile action overnight into/in New York trading on mixed data

  • Down to 142.86 before rallying later to 144.22, off since to 143 handle

  • Asia so far 143.34-48 EBS, quiet, many awaiting tonight's US jobs report

  • Expectations for non-farm payrolls at +160k, unemployment at 4.2%

  • Bias still to the downside but seen dependent on jobs report

  • Descending 55-HMA 144.24, hourly Ichi cloud 144.33-145.35

  • Hourly Ichi kijun pivot today? Above currently at 143.53

  • Nearby option expiries today 143.00 $1.2 bln, 143.75-80 total $1.2 bln

  • These massive expiries could well contain action into the US data

  • Some pre-weekend Japanese importer demand into Tokyo fix eyed

  • Japanese exporter likely to help cap upside from area of topside expiries

  • US yields on soft side after also volatile action overnight, JGBs ylds firm?

  • Yield differential on JGB-US Treasury 2s around 337 bps, low o/n @332 bps

  • Expectations for Fed cut now centre on 25 bps

  • Related comments nL1N3KN0SR, nL1N3KN0AJ, nL1N3KN09Z, nL1N3KN09D

  • USD bull view nL1N3KN09T, nL1N3KN08W, also nL1N3KN0XW

  • US markets nL1N3KN0NO, nL1N3KN16X, nL4N3KN170, nL1N3KN024

  • Fed-speak nL1N3KN12I, on US data nL1N3KN0I2, for more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/4cTU9of

USD/JPY nearby option expiries into next week: https://tmsnrt.rs/3TjkKUX

JGB-US Treasury 2-year interest rate differential: https://tmsnrt.rs/4g7oAdL

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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