Summertime sadness
STOXX 600 flat
BT shares up on Drahi stake sale
Volatility ebbs
Wall St futures edge up
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SUMMERTIME SADNESS
Europe's STOXX 600 .STOXX could be set to rise for a fifth straight day on Monday if early gains hold, but the index still trades about 5% below its peak from June, and analysts remain cautious through the summer.
"From here, equities remain vulnerable," GS equity strategists say in a note, citing high valuations, especially in the U.S., and rising unemployment.
Yet, GS doesn't expect a bear market, which they say tend to be triggered by recessionary fears and risks of a downturn in profits.
"Recession remains a risk rather than a likely outcome ... ISM services print was strong, suggesting that a broad downturn is not imminent."
JPM is also cautious, saying the risk-reward for equities is to stay mixed through the summer.
"We remain concerned about the backdrop for stocks," JPM says.
"Activity is weakening, negative earnings revisions resumed, concentration risk and geopolitical uncertainty are elevated."
(Samuel Indyk)
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FOR MONDAY'S OTHER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
SMOOTH SAILING CLICK HERE
FUTURES IN THE GREEN CLICK HERE
MARKETS SHIFT TO HOLIDAY MOODCLICK HERE
European equities steadily higher https://reut.rs/3yMqn6S
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