Profit taking may be main FX influence in short term
Sept 2 (Reuters) -Profit taking may be the main influence on currencies in the short term, underpinning the greenback and weighing on equities before the Federal Reserve's September 18 meeting.
Profit taking usually precedes major events and few are bigger than the start of a much anticipated easing cycle in the world's biggest economy. Where the Fed leads many central banks will follow and expectations for this cycle of rate cuts are aggressive with almost all of the expected easing seen within the next year.
With inflation above target before the cycle has begun, expectations seem fanciful and, for those who have made good money, there is good reason to bank some profits.
Demand for dollars that stems from bets against it could be outweighed by demand that could be sparked by risk aversion surrounding any pullback for equities.
Like hopes for U.S. easing, equity moves stemming from them are extreme with many indexes at record highs and investors most probably overweight stocks. A little profit taking could have a big impact and some adjustment may be needed before bloated markets can move higher.
Cheaper oil has thrown traders a lifeline ahead U.S. rate decision
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Major stocks https://tmsnrt.rs/479GQ1O
(Jeremy Boulton is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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