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Hot US CPI may see USD/JPY bulls charge at 160 again



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May 14 (Reuters) -USD/JPY bulls might stamp their hooves before charging towards the 160 level again if U.S. CPI data comes in hotter than expected on Wednesday.

USD/JPY rose beyond 160 on April 29 - the catalyst for the first of two rounds of suspected yen-buying FX intervention from Japan, with a sub-152 low plumbed during the second of those suspected intervention rounds on May 3.

U.S. April CPI is forecast up 0.4% on the month, 3.4% on the year. Core CPI is forecast up 0.3% on the month, 3.6% on the year. The numbers will be revealed on Wednesday at 1230 GMT.

Hotter than expected CPI data could lift the dollar by reducing the perceived probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in July or September.

CFTC data on FX positioning showed hedge funds and speculators slashed their net yen short position by 20% to 134,922 contracts, its lowest level since March, in the week ended May 7.

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(Robert Howard is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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