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Gold extends record rally on dollar weakness, rate-cut bets



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Gold is up 22% so far in 2024

Minutes of Fed's July FOMC meeting due Wednesday

Holdings of world's largest gold ETF jump to 7-month high

Adds comments and updates prices as of 1522 GMT

By Anushree Ashish Mukherjee

Aug 20 (Reuters) -Gold prices extended their record run on Tuesday, holding firm above the key $2,500 level, driven by a weaker dollar and growing investor confidence that the Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates in September.

Spot gold XAU= rose 0.1% to $2,507.45 per ounce by 11:22 a.m. ET [1522 GMT], after hitting an all-time high of $2,531.60 earlier in the session.

U.S. gold futures GCcv1 gained about 0.2% to $2,545.60.

The dollar index .DXY sank to a seven-month low, making gold more attractive for other currency holders, while benchmark U.S. 10-bond yields US10YT=RR slipped. USD/ US/

"The primary drivers of the gold price move are financial investment demand, particularly with ETF buying improving and overall improved sentiment as the expectations of Fed easing cycle to begin in September," said Aakash Doshi, head of commodities, North America at Citi Research

Gold could reach $3,000 per ounce by mid-2025 and $2,600 by the end of 2024, Doshi added.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, jumped to their highest in seven months at 859 tons on Monday. GOL/ETF

Markets are pricing in about a 71.5%chance of Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH

Traders will be closely monitoring the minutes of the Fed's July policy meeting on Wednesday and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's keynote speech at the Jackson Hole symposium at the end of the week for more cues on rate cuts.

Positioning in gold might be overextended, with expectations of significant Fed rate cuts possibly leading to a correction if this narrative is challenged, said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities.

Gold, which tends to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment, has risen more than 20% so far this year and heading for the best year since 2020.

"Geopolitical uncertainties, the rise in speculative interest, and substantial global ETF inflows are further fueling the bullish trend in gold," said Joseph Cavatoni, market strategist at World Gold Council.

Elsewhere, spot silver XAG= fell 0.1% to $29.45 per ounce, platinum XPT= eased 0.4% to $950.20 and palladium XPD= was up 0.3% at $935.00.


World’s largest gold ETF resumes inflows https://reut.rs/3yWlisN

Spot gold price in USD per oz https://reut.rs/4fThGss


Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru; editing by Alan Barona

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