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FX traders should insure against a EUR/USD relapse



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Aug 22 (Reuters) -While there is a good chance EUR/USD gains will continue, it would be prudent to insure against a near-term setback. FX traders can use a simple option to insure against a EUR/USD drop.

The euro held steady near its highest in more than a year against the dollar on Thursday, after solid euro zone business activity data and ahead of euro zone wage numbers that will shape the path of interest rates for the European Central Bank. EUR/USD hit 1.1173 on Wednesday, according to EBS data.

However, there are signs this latest EUR/USD rally is stretched and could see another reversal like it did when it peaked at 1.1139 in December and July 1.1273 last year. There could be a big setback to back below 1.1000 in coming sessions.

Those who want to protect against a short-term EUR/USD slump could buy a one-week 1.1140 EUR put option at a cost of 38 pips, priced with spot at 1.1143. Profit potential is unlimited if spot is below the 1.1102 breakeven point at the Aug. 29 expiry. Losses are limited to the 38 pips premium paid.

For more click on FXBUZ


Daily Chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/3MiwPWo

Fenics Option Pricing Grid: https://tmsnrt.rs/3WSnBoV

(Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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