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FX drifts as markets eye global factors



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-FX drifts as markets eye global factors</title></head><body>

By Alan Charlish

WARSAW, July 12 (Reuters) -Central European currencies were mainly moving sideways in thin trade on Friday, with investors keeping an eye on global factors including reports of a possible intervention to prop up the Japanese yen.

The yen swung between losses and gains in volatile trade, reflecting investors' skittishness after Tokyo was thought to have intervened to support the currency in the wake of a cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation report.

Piotr Poplawski, senior economist at ING in Warsaw, said uncertainty over yen interventions was potentially feeding into a cautious approach for investors in central Europe.

"Essentially people are not sure what is going to happen with euro/dollar because dollar/yen plays a significant part in the movement of euro/dollar," he said.

"For quite some time the yen has been relatively weaker against the dollar and investors expected interventions. This would normally result in some move for CEE currencies because a weaker dollar is positive for CEE in most cases."

The Polish zloty EURPLN= and Czech crown EURCZK= were slightly weaker against the euro at 4.257 and 25.362 respectively.

A Czech trader said the crown was moving into range trading, but that markets could become more nervous ahead of a central bank meeting next month.

The Hungarian forint EURHUF= was 0.24% firmer at 392.90.

"We see some strengthening ... I would say it's probably on the back of euro/dollar moving a bit higher but there is nothing really specific or HUF-based," said Miklos Kolba, senior corporate sales dealer at ING in Hungary.

The Romanian leu EURRON=, which is tightly controlled by the central bank, was stable at 4.9734.

Romania's consumer price inflation ROCPI=ECI dropped to 4.94% on the year in June from 5.12% in the previous month, slightly above expectations, data from the National Statistics Board showed on Thursday.



CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1102 CET






CURRENCIES







Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.3620

25.3500

-0.05%

-2.60%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

392.9000

393.8500

+0.24%

-2.47%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2570

4.2555

-0.04%

+2.06%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9734

4.9745

+0.02%

+0.02%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9200

117.0200

+0.09%

+0.28%


Note: daily change

calculated from



1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1586.18

1586.7300

-0.03%

+12.18%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

72094.66

71941.67

+0.21%

+18.93%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2563.21

2547.69

+0.61%

+9.40%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

18500.21

18513.50

-0.07%

+20.36%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic





spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.7450

0.0090

+092bps

-1bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.7530

0.0100

+127bps

-3bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.9110

0.0070

+140bps

-3bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

5.1870

0.0190

+236bps

+0bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.5450

-0.0390

+306bps

-8bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.7010

-0.0160

+319bps

-6bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS








3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

4.13

3.73

3.54

4.62


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.48

6.17

5.85

6.84


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.81

5.73

5.48

5.86


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices






**************************************************************






Reporting by Alan Charlish in Warsaw, Jason Hovet in Prague and Boldizsar Gyori in Budapest;
Editing by Helen Popper

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