Deutsche Bank takes a shine to the construction sector
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DEUTSCHE BANK TAKES A SHINE TO THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
Analysts at Deutsche Bank have upgraded the construction and materials sector to overweight on lower interest rates, solid earnings growth, attractive valuations and favourable geographic revenue exposures.
Historically, Deutsche Bank notes that food and beverages .SX3P and construction and materials .SXOP enjoyed the highest return 12 months after the first ECB rate cut.
"The sector offers a high negative correlation to interest rates, and benefits from lower rates through its high leverage," DB says.
"Falling mortgage rates and hence improving construction activity should support the sector going forward."
DB also highlights that earnings in the sector are set to grow 10% year-over-year in the second half, with Vinci, CRH and Holcim all upgrading guidance during second-quarter earnings season.
Meanwhile, the sector is also cheap, trading at an 8% discount to its 10-year average PE, DB says.
The report also highlighted that the top 5 construction companies - Assa Abloy, Vinci, Holcim, Saint-Gobain and Sika - have major revenue exposure in Europe, where they expect an economic recovery, and the U.S., where growth should remain strong.
Revenue exposure to Asia and China, where the economic recovery has been sluggish, is lower, DB highlights.
(Samuel Indyk)
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