Could be value in the Viking cross at current levels
July 16 (Reuters) -There has been little to choose between the Norwegian and Swedish crowns in recent sessions. However, the fundamentals continue to favour the NOK and despite a slide in NOK/SEK from 0.9984 to 0.9738 there might be value in the Viking cross around current levels.
A combination of large fund flows and the market's reaction to the Donald Trump shooting put both the NOK and SEK on the back foot on Monday and although risk sentiment improved in early Tuesday trade, both currencies continue to struggle versus the euro and dollar.
On central bank policy divergence alone, the NOK should attract flows but bearish developments in the oil price may have dragged on NOK/SEK. External factors like the U.S. interest rate outlook and uncertainty surrounding Chinese growth will continue to impact on both the NOK and SEK.
Positive factors, including an outside chance of a Norges Bank rate hike and potential for the oil price to head higher again, along with a strong rebound in NOK/SEK last Friday could set the stage for a return to higher levels for the cross in coming sessions.
For more click on FXBUZ
NOK/SEK daily candle chart: https://tmsnrt.rs/4cKjTo6
(Peter Stoneham is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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